(GALDSW; NR/BBBpos/BBB)
Good news.
• First time rating from S&P: BBB with Positive Outlook
• Was previously only rated BBB Stable by Fitch.
• S&P expect margins to grow to ~25% by 2027 from 22.7%
• Adj Debt/EBITDA to fall to 1.5x-2.0x over 2025/26 from 2.5x in 2024.
• Nemluvio ramp-up expected to be positive.
• May see an upgrade over 12-24 months.
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The trend structure in Gilt futures remains bullish. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. The next upside objective is 94.00. Clearance of this level would open 94.24, a Fibonacci projection. Note that the contract is overbought, a short-term pullback would allow this trend condition to unwind. Initial firm support to watch 92.81, the 20-day EMA.
The trend condition in USDJPY remains bullish and the pair is trading closer to its recent trend highs. The break higher last week confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and note too that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend.Sights are on 154.80, the Feb 12 high. First important support to watch lies at 152.06, the 20-day EMA. A pullback would be considered corrective.
The trend condition in S&P E-Minis is unchanged, it remains bullish and the latest pullback appears corrective. Attention is on support at the 20-day EMA, at 6804.03. A clear break of this level average would signal scope for a deeper retracement and expose the 50-day EMA at 6698.11 - a key pivot support. The bull trigger has been defined at 6953.75, the Oct 30 high. Clearance of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the uptrend.