FOREX: FX OPTION EXPIRY

Apr-30 08:18

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Of note: EURUSD 2.84bn at 1.1375/1.1395. USDJPY 1.76bn at 142.00. USDJPY 1.5bn at 143.00/143.10 (...

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: EUR Sees Sizeable Expiry Interest Against Both GBP, USD

Mar-31 08:15

Spot EUR/USD remains pinned between two relatively decently sized expiries rolling off at the cut today: $1.0800(E957mln), $1.0875-90(E672mln), which could contain range barring any major German inflation surprise or renewed tariff risk from Trump today. 

USD/JPY, meanwhile, sees $868mln rolling off at Y150.00 and EUR/GBP with E1.1bln layered between 0.8360-70. 

  • AUD/USD: $0.6300(A$542mln)
  • USD/CNY: Cny7.2800($915mln)

GERMAN DATA: State CPI data broadly in line with expectation

Mar-31 08:08
  • The first few German state CPIs look broadly in line with expectations. We have received states which make up around 85% of the index and it is currently tracking at 0.32%M/M.
  • In the Bloomberg survey German national CPI (not HICP) estimates were split between 0.2-0.4%M/M: the median estimate is 0.3%M/M but the modal estimate is 0.4%M/M.
  • So we are broadly in line with expectations.
  • The Y/Y is also tracking at 2.20% (consensus is 2.2%).
  • Note that surprises in state CPI do not always fully correlate with surprises in HICP.

 

 

MONTH-END EXTENSIONS: Core FI Month-End Projections Deemed Average To Negligible

Mar-31 08:08

A reminder that BBG’s month-end index extension estimates are deemed average to negligible this month, but there will still be some focus on related flow in both the European & U.S. afternoons. 

  • US Tsys: +0.07yr
  • EGBs: +0.06yr
  • Gilts: -0.03yr