RATINGS: Friday’s Rating Slate

Mar-24 06:32

Sovereign rating reviews of note slated for after hours on Friday include:

  • Fitch on Malta (current rating: A+; Outlook Stable)
  • Moody’s on Estonia (current rating: A1; Outlook Stable) & Poland (current rating: A2; Outlook Stable)
  • S&P on Germany (current rating: AAA; Outlook Stable)
  • DBRS Morningstar on Finland (current rating: AA (high), Stable Trend) & France (current rating: AA (high), Stable Trend)

Historical bullets

BTP TECHS: (H3) Sell Off Accelerates

Feb-22 06:26
  • RES 4: 121.26 0.764 proj of the Dec 30 - Jan 19 - 30 price swing
  • RES 3: 120.00 Psychological round number
  • RES 2: 118.56/96 High Jan 19 / Dec 7 and a key resistance zone
  • RES 1: 116.33/118.18 High Feb 9 / High Feb 2
  • PRICE: 112.83 @ 15:24 GMT Feb 21
  • SUP 1: 112.51 Low Feb 16
  • SUP 2: 112.26 61.8% retracement of the Dec 30 - Jan 19 rally
  • SUP 3: 111.59 Low Jan 6
  • SUP 4: 110.77 Low Jan 4 and 76.4% of the Dec 30 - Jan 19 rally

BTP futures gapped lower at the Friday open, printing a fresh pullback low at 112.51. This keeps the outlook bearish, and defies views that the recent weakness was corrective in nature. The next downside levels to watch cross at 112.26, the 61.8% retracement of the Dec 30 - Jan 19 rally. A break would be a bearish development. A reversal higher would signal scope for a test of firm resistance at 118.56, the Jan 19 high and 118.96, the Dec 7 high.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-22 06:23
Date UK Period Event
23-Feb 0930 ---- BOE Mann Speech at Resolution Foundation
23-Feb 1100 Feb CBI Distributive Trades
24-Feb 0001 Feb Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
24-Feb 1630 ---- BOE Tenreyro Panellist at NY Fed
27-Feb 0900 ---- BOE Broadbent Opens BEAR Research Conference
28-Feb 1215 ---- BOE Pill Closes BEAR Research Conference
28-Feb 1230 ---- BOE Mann Panellist at EIB Forum
01-Mar 0001 Feb BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
01-Mar 0930 Feb Lending to Individuals / S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final)
01-Mar 1000 ---- BOE Bailey Speech at Cost of Living Crisis Conference
02-Mar 1500 ---- BOE Pill Speech at Wales Week
03-Mar 0930 Feb S&P Global Services PMI (Final)
06-Mar 0930 Feb S&P Global Construction PMI

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-22 06:18
Date Time Country Event
22-Feb 0700 DE HICP (f)
22-Feb 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
22-Feb 0900 IT HICP (f)

22-Feb 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
22-Feb 0900 DE Destatis Press Conference on Updated CPI Weights
22-Feb 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
23-Feb 1000 EU HICP (f)
24-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
24-Feb 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate / GDP (f)
24-Feb 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
24-Feb 0800 ESPPI
25-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
27-Feb 0900 IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence
27-Feb 1000 EU M3 / EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator