LOOK AHEAD: Friday Data Calendar: Import/Export Prices, Fed Speak

Feb-17 11:14
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
  • Feb-17 0830 Import Price Index MoM (0.4%, -0.1%), YoY (3.5%, 1.4%)
  • Feb-17 0830 Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM (0.8%, -0.3%)
  • Feb-17 0830 Export Price Index MoM (-2.6%, -0.2%), YoY (5.0%, 2.8%)
  • Feb-17 0830 Leading Index (-0.8%, -0.3%)
  • Feb-17 0830 Richmond Fed Barkin discusses labor mkt, no text, Q&A
  • Feb-17 0845 Fed Gov Bowman, moderated discussion banking conf

Historical bullets

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: 3/6-month EU-bill auction results

Jan-18 11:12
Type 3-month EU-bill 6-month EU-bill
Maturity Apr 7, 2023 Jul 7, 2023
Amount E886mln E921mln
Target E1bln E1bln
Previous E900mln E1.438bln
Avg yield 2.194% 2.556%
Previous 2.137% 2.556%
Bid-to-cover 3.68x 3.74x
Previous 3.89x 1.95x
Previous date Jan 04, 2023 Jan 04, 2023

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Remains Below The 20-Day EMA

Jan-18 11:11
  • In FX, the EURUSD outlook remains bullish and trend signals continue to point north. The recent break of 1.0787, the May 30 2022 high and a key resistance, reinforces a bullish theme and note that moving average studies continue to highlight a bullish backdrop. Sights are on 1.0913, the 2.764 projection of the Sep 28 - Oct 4 - Oct 13 price swing. Initial firm support lies at 1.0690, the 20-day EMA.
  • GBPUSD maintains a bullish tone and is trading higher today. The pair has recently cleared resistance at 1.2303, the 76.4% retracement of the Dec 14 - Jan 6 bear leg. The clear breach exposes 1.2446, the Dec 14 high and a key hurdle for bulls. On the downside, initial firm support is seen at 1.2133, the 20-day EMA.
  • USDJPY rallied earlier today following the BoJ decision. Resistance at the 20-day EMA, at 131.71, remains intact and the pair has pulled back to trade below 130.00. The primary downtrend remains intact and gains are considered corrective - for now. A clear break of the 20-day EMA is required to signal scope for a stronger recovery that would open 132.87, the Jan 11 high. Key support has been defined at 127.23, the Jan 16 low.

PORTUGAL T-BILL AUCTION RESULT: 6/12-month BTs

Jan-18 10:51
Type 6-month BT 12-month BT
Maturity Jul 21, 2023 Jan 19, 2024
Amount E750mln E500mln
Target E1.25-1.50bln Shared
Previous E440mln E750mln
Avg yield 2.417% 2.725%
Previous 1.291% 2.104%
Bid-to-cover 2.14x 3.82x
Previous 2.92x 1.74x
Previous date Sep 21, 2022 Oct 19, 2022