GBPUSD TECHS: Fresh Cycle High

May-21 17:30
  • RES 4: 1.3605 1.382 proj of the Feb 28 - Apr 3 - 7 price swing
  • RES 3: 1.3550 High Feb 24 ‘22
  • RES 2: 1.3510 1.236 proj of the Feb 28 - Apr 3 - 7 price swing
  • RES 1: 1.3469 Intraday high  
  • PRICE: 1.3435 @ 15:58 BST May 21
  • SUP 1: 1.3282 20-day EMA   
  • SUP 2: 1.3140/37 Lows May 12 / 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.3041 Low Apr 14  
  • SUP 4: 1.2968 Low Apr 11 

GBPUSD traded sharply higher on the back of the UK CPI print, and saw further support from USD weakness into the close. This put prices briefly through key resistance and the bull trigger at 1.3444, the Apr 28 / 29 high. A clear break of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the uptrend and signal scope for an extension towards 1.3510, a Fibonacci projection point. Medium-term trend signals highlight a dominant uptrend - moving average studies are in a bull-mode position. Key support to watch is 1.3137, the 50-day EMA.

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday Data Calendar: Fed Speakers, Richmond Fed Data, 2Y Note Sale

Apr-21 16:34
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
  • 22-Apr 0830 Philadelphia Fed Non-Mfg Activity (-32.5, --)
  • 22-Apr 0900 Fed Gov Jefferson, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 0930 Philly Fed Harker, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Mfg Index (-4, -6)
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Business Conditions (-14, --)
  • 22-Apr 1130 US Tsy $70B 6W bill auction
  • 22-Apr 1300 US Tsy $69B 2Y Note auction (91282CMY4)
  • 22-Apr 1340 MN Fed Kashkari Speaks moderated discussion
  • 22-Apr 1430 Richmond Fed Barkin fireside chat (no text, Q&A)
  • 22-Apr 1800 Fed Gov Kugler on Mon/Pol Transmission (text, Q&A)

US TSY FUTURES: BLCK: Jun'25 5Y Buy

Apr-21 16:01
  • +6,500 FVM5 108-16.25, buy through 108-15.75 post time offer at 1148:59ET, DV01 $267,000. The 5Y contract trades 108-15.75 last (+2.5)

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $5B Amex 4Pt Launched

Apr-21 15:57

Amex dropped the 6NC5 SOFR leg:

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 04/21 $5B #American Express $1.6B 4NC3 +98, $400M 4NC3 SOFR+126, $1.5B 6NC5 +108, $1.5B 11NC10 +128
  • 04/21 $700M Excelerate Energy 5NC2
  • 04/21 $2B QXO Inc. 7NC3 investor calls