HUF: Forint Hits New Cycle High vs. JPY, PLN

Sep-03 09:03

The Hungarian forint has recovered well off Tuesday’s lows, with the move higher for the currency this morning tracking the recovery off lows for EURUSD. HUF is outperforming its regional peers today, with PLNHUF 0.2% lower on the session and at its lowest since October 2024.

  • Meanwhile, ongoing underperformance of the Japanese yen has prompted an extension higher for HUFJPY, which is currently trading at a new cycle high. The 2024 highs are around 1.5% above current levels, a break of which would place the cross at its best level in a decade. Similarly, CZKJPY and PLNJPY are at/close to cycle highs as the focus on carry continues to benefit CE3 FX.
  • For EURHUF, initial support is at 393.46, the year-to-date low recorded in mid-August. Below here, we flag the next notable technical level at 391.34, the 1.00 projection of the Jan 7 - Mar 21 - Apr 14 price swing.

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: Bobl Trangle Option trade

Aug-04 08:57

OEU5 117/117.75^^, sold at 29.5 in 1k.

JPY: The Yen Catches up with the Swissy

Aug-04 08:46
  • The Yen is catching up with the CHF, still the second worst performer within G10 against the USD.
  • US Treasuries are hovering at session lows (tick higher in Yields), helping the USD paring some of its post NFP weakness.
  • Small resistance in the USDJPY moves down to 148.81, but as mentioned on the EU Cash Govie Open, the wild USDJPY plummeted from 150.52 post US NFP.

US TSY FUTURES: FV Blocked

Aug-04 08:38

Latest block trade lodged at 09:26:16 London/04:26:16 NY:

  • FVU5 3.0K lots blocked at 108-29+, looks like a seller.
  • DV01 ~$129K.