FOREX: FX OPTION EXPIRY

Sep-19 08:22

Of note:

EURUSD 11.6bn between 1.1060 and 1.1200.

USDCAD ~1bn at 1.3600.

EURUSD 1.81bn at 1.1100 and 1.72bn at 1.1150 (fri).

USDCAD 3.44bn at 1.3575/1.3605 (fri).

USDCNY 1.01bn at 7.0500 (fri).

NZDUSD 1.15bn at 0.6300 (mon).

USDJPY 4.25bn at 142.40/142.50 (wed).

  • EURUSD: 1.1060 (585mln), 1.1070 (614mln), 1.1080 (415mln), 1.1100 (2.56bn), 1.1105 (797mln), 1.1115 (248mln), 1.1120 (290mln), 1.1125 (889mln), 1.1130 (257mln), 1.1135 (643mln), 1.1140 (707mln), 1.1150 (1.51bn), 1.1175 (213mln), 1.1200 (1.87bn).
  • GBPUSD; 1.3210 (333mln), 1.3250 (274mln), 1.3300 (499mln).
  • EURNOK: 11.6000 (403mln).
  • USDSEK: 10.2500 (399mln), 10.2600 (243mln).
  • USDJPY: 142.00 (704mln).
  • USDCAD: 1.3600 (924mln).
  • AUDUSD: 0.6785 (501mln), 0.6800 (279mln).
  • NZDUSD: 1.0900 (854mln).
  • USDZAR: 17.5000 (360mln).

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Put fly

Aug-20 08:12

ERV4 97.00/96.87/96.75p fly, bought for 3.5 in 4k.

CHINA-EU: Chinese EVs To Face Hefty 36.3% Duty-MLex

Aug-20 08:09

(MNI) London - Joanna Sopinska at MLex posts on X: "Chinese EVs to face hefty definitive EU countervailing duties of up to 36.3 percent under the proposal disclosed today [...]. If EU governments don't oppose the measures, they will enter into force by Oct. 30 and stay in place for 5 years. All China-made EVs, including EU and US brands, will be affected, with Tesla facing the lowest import duty of 9 percent. The definitive countervailing duties won't be imposed retroactively and the provisional measures won't be collected, the proposal says."

  • The imposition of provisional tariffs in July has already dented in EV sales to Europe. Data from Rho Motion showed sales in the EU down 7.8% in July. This compares to a 31% increase in China, and 7.1% growth the the US and Canada.
  • China has lodged a complaint with the WTO regarding the provisional tariffs, arguing that "the EU's preliminary ruling lacks a factual and legal basis, seriously violates WTO rules,".
  • In order to counter the tariffs, some Chinese firms have moved to boost production in countries with tariff-free access to the EU, such as Morocco and Turkey, as well as constructing new factories within the EU.
  • As EU Observer reports, "some EU governments themselves are unconvinced by the need for tariffs. In an advisory vote on the tariffs in mid-July, 12 EU countries backed the tariffs, four voted against and 11 abstained. Further discussions and a formal vote are set to be held in October. "

CROSS ASSET: A turnaround in the Dollar, Gold extends

Aug-20 08:03
  • Another turnaround for the Dollar, moving in the red across G10s, another spin cycle in Cable to break session high now.
  • EURUSD is recovering from the lows, CHF has jumped ahead and is now the best performer in G10, up 0.41% against the Greenback.
  • Gold has now gained $10 in the past 30 minutes, which is starting to spillovers into Silver and Palladium.