ASIA STOCKS: Few Bright Spots, South Korean Outflows Surge Amid Tech Concerns

Nov-07 05:25

Outflows, particularly from South Korea, have been the dominant feature of EM Asian market flows as we approach the end of the week. The past 5 trading days has seen just over $3.7bn in net outflows from South Korea, while the first 4 days of this week has seen close to $5bn in net outflows, the most since 2021 (on a weekly basis). Kospi volatility remains very high (the market down a further 2.5% so far today). South Korean stocks are a good barometer for both global and tech related trends, and given the extent of the recent run higher, some paring in risk is not surprising. Net flows are now back into negative territory for the year. 

  • Taiwan markets also continue to see outflows, albeit at a more modest pace. As we noted yesterday, the past trading month has seen stronger outflow momentum from Taiwan (nearly $7.4bn), so short term positioning may be more balanced relative to South Korea. Still, Taiwan maintains a modestly YTD inflow sum.
  • Indian inflow momentum remains negative, while in South East Asia there are few bright spots, outside of Indonesia.
  • Philippines markets may come under fresh pressure, as today's much weaker than expected Q3 GDP result has seen the PCOMP slump back to multi year lows. 

Table 1: Asia Markets Net Equity Flows 

 YesterdayPast 5 Trading Days2025 To Date
South Korea (USDmn)-1251-3716-1376
Taiwan (USDmn) -321-31312502
India (USDmn)*-37-1486-16453
Indonesia (USDmn)-7220-2373
Thailand (USDmn)-2528-2972
Malaysia (USDmn)-31-61-4179
Philippines (USDmn) 4-13-759
Total (USDmn)-1669-8159-25609
* Data Up To Nov 4   

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P./MNI 

Historical bullets

GBPUSD TECHS: Short-Term Bear Cycle Intact

Oct-08 05:23
  • RES 4: 1.3789 High Jul 1 and key resistance    
  • RES 3: 1.3726 High Sep 17 
  • RES 2: 1.3661 High Sep 18
  • RES 1: 1.3537 High Sep 23 and a pivot level 
  • PRICE: 1.3388 @ 06:23 BST Oct 8
  • SUP 1: 1.3324 Low Sep 25 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 2: 1.3282 Low Aug 6
  • SUP 3: 1.3254 Low Aug 4
  • SUP 4: 1.3144 38.2% retracement of the Jan 13 - Jul 1 bull cycle          

The short-term condition in GBPUSD remains bearish. Initial key resistance to watch is unchanged at 1.3537, the Sep 23 high and a near-term pivot level. Clearance of this hurdle would signal a potential reversal. Attention is on support at 1.3333, the Sep 3 low. It has recently been pierced, a clear breach of this support would strengthen a bearish theme and open 1.3282, the Aug 6 low.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Oct-08 05:23
DateTimePeriodEvent
08-Oct1600---BOE Pill Speech at University of Birmingham
09-Oct0930---BOE Mann Keynote at Resolution Foundation Event
10-Oct0001---KPMG / REC Report on Jobs
13-Oct1205---BOE Greene at Society of Professional Economists
13-Oct2010---BOE Mann in MonPol Panel
14-Oct0001SepBRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
14-Oct0700Aug/SepLabour Market Report
14-Oct1300---BOE Taylor Fireside Chat at University of Cambridge
14-Oct1800---BOE Bailey at Institute of International Finance
15-Oct0900---BOE Ramsden Panel at Resolution Mechanism Conference
15-Oct1645---BOE Breeden in Panel on Financial Regulation
15-Oct1900---BOE Breeden in Panel at Fintech Foundation
16-Oct0700AugGDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction
16-Oct0930---BOE Credit Conditions Survey
16-Oct1400---BOE Mann in Panel on MonPol and Trade Shocks
16-Oct1545---BOE Mann in MonPol Panel at IMF/World Bank Meetings
16-Oct1930---BOE Greene in Panel on UK/EU Relations

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Oct-08 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
08-Oct0700DEIndustrial Production
08-Oct1130EUECB Elderson In Panel at Finance Conference
08-Oct1700EUECB Lagarde Video Message at Werner Report Event
09-Oct0700DETrade Balance
09-Oct---EUECB Lagarde & Cipollone at Eurogroup Meeting
09-Oct1600EUECB Lane Roundtable at Irish Investment Managers Event
10-Oct1000ITIndustrial Production
10-Oct---EUECB de Guindos at ECOFIN Meeting
13-Oct---EUECB Lagarde and Cipollone at IMF/World Bank Meetings
14-Oct0700DEGermany CPI (f)
14-Oct0850EUECB Cipollone Speech on Digital Euro
14-Oct1000DEZEW Current Expectations Index
14-Oct---EUECB Lagarde and Cipollone at G20 Meeting
15-Oct0745FRHICP (f)
15-Oct0800ESHICP (f)
15-Oct0840EUECB de Guindos at Resolution Mechanism Conference
15-Oct1000EUEZ Industrial Production
15-Oct1900EUECB de Guindos at Alantra Anniversary Event