AUDUSD TECHS: Eyeing Key Support

May-22 06:57
  • RES 4: 0.6921 High Feb 20
  • RES 3: 0.6861 50.0% retracement of the Feb 2 - Mar 10 bear leg
  • RES 2: 0.6824 High Feb 24
  • RES 1: 0.6703/6818 50-day EMA / High May 10
  • PRICE: 0.6634 @ 07:56 BST May 22
  • SUP 1: 0.6605 Low May 18
  • SUP 2: 0.6565 Low May 10 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 3: 0.6547 61.8% of the Oct - Feb bull cycle
  • SUP 4: 0.6403 76.4% of the Oct - Feb bull cycle

AUDUSD maintains a softer tone following the pullback from 0.6818, the May 10 high. A bearish continuation would expose key support at 0.6565, the Mar 10 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the bear cycle that started Feb 2 and highlight a range breakout. On the upside, a breach of 0.6818 is required to reinstate a bullish theme and this would expose 0.6861, a Fibonacci retracement.

Historical bullets

MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23

Apr-21 21:01



  • MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23
  • FED DATA: CIE INDEX DOWN 0.09PPT TO 2.22%, LOWEST SINCE Q2 '21

USDCAD TECHS: Tops Resistance At The 50-Day EMA

Apr-21 20:00
  • RES 4: 1.3617 High Mar 29
  • RES 3: 1.3582 50.0% retracement of the Mar 10 - Apr 14 bear leg
  • RES 2: 1.3573 1.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 1: 1.3563 High Apr 21
  • PRICE: 1.3536 @ 16:42 BST Apr 21
  • SUP 1: 1.3385/3302 Low Apr 19 / 14 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.3275 Low Feb 14
  • SUP 3: 1.3262 Low Feb 2 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3226 Low Nov 15 2022

USDCAD maintains a firmer tone and the current correction remains intact. The pair has topped 1.3526 resistance - the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this hurdle would strengthen the current bull cycle and signal scope for a climb towards 1.3573, the 1.0% 10-dma envelope. For bears, a failure at the 50-day EMA would signal the end of the correction and attention would turn to the key support at 1.3302, the Apr 14 low.

MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY

Apr-21 20:00
  • MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY
  • TREASURY DATA: TGA TOTAL DEPOSITS $188B APRIL 20 VS $60B PREV