US TSYS: Tsys Inching Lower, 10Y Yield Climbs to 4.6048%, 7-Month High
Dec-24 11:43
Christmas markets in full control: Treasuries are mildly lower at the moment, extending lows after narrow overnight range on extremely light volumes (TYH5 just over 110k).
The Mar'25 10y contract trades 108-14.5 last (-0.5) - just through initial technical support of 108-16.5 (Dec 19 low). Focus on next support at 108-12.5 (1.382 proj of the Oct 1 - 14 - 16 price swing) followed by 108-00 (1.500 proj of the Oct 1 - 14 - 16 price swing ).
Treasury 10Y yield tapping 4.6048% (+.0182) highest level since late May.
Session data limited to regional Fed data: Philadelphia Fed Non-Mfg Activity at 0830ET, Richmond Fed Mfg Index at 1000ET.
Treasury supply for the last minute shoppers: $28B 2Y FRN & $70B 5Y Note auctions at 1130ET.
Early close at 1300ET for Christmas eve, full close tomorrow (Globex re-open Wednesday at 1800ET) - back to full session trade Thursday and Friday.
CROSS ASSET: US 10yr Yield tests 4.60%
Dec-24 11:36
EURUSD edges to 1.0400, with a broader bid going through for the EUR, testing session high versus the CHF, CAD, NOK, SEK, and AUD.
Closest resistance for the EUR is against the NOK, at 11.892, last Week's high and the highest printed level since the 6th November.
The Dollar remains in the Green overall, TYH5 is sold in 4k to push the contract through its session low.
The US 10yr is again testing the 4.60% handle, and the Next area of interest in Yield is at 4.6357%, which would equate to 108.10.
US TSY OPTIONS: Large Feb'25 10Y Put Spread
Dec-24 11:31
20,000 TYG5 107.5/108.5 put spread, around 24 ref 108-16.5