-1,500 WNH6 118-24, sell through 118-26 post time bid at 1408:00ET, DV01 $274,500.
The 30Y Ultra contract trades 118-17 last (+6)
FED: New Statement Includes More Patient Forward Rate Guidance Tweak
Dec-10 19:08
A comparison of December's rate decision statement vs the previous edition in October below:
The only major change is in forward guidance, which was widely expected, noting "In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments..." vs previously "In considering additional adjustments". This is seen as maintaining the overall easing bias while suggesting that the consecutive pace of reductions is set to slow in 2026.
The new statement also mentions the launch of reserve management purchases as noted earlier.
2 dissents in favor of a hold is more or less in line with expectations, though most thought along with KC's Schmid that it would be St Louis's Musalem that dissented - instead it was Chicago's Goolsbee. (Gov Miran dissented in favor of a 50bp cut for the 3rd consecutive meeting, as expected.)
US TSYS: Post FOMC Rate Cut React
Dec-10 19:04
Treasury futures extend highs after the FOMC cut rate target by expected 25bp, SEP shows one 25bp cut in 2026.
Currently, TYH6 trades 112-07.5 (+4.5) vs. 112-10.5 high, initial key resistance is seen at 112-25+, the 20-day EMA. A break of this average would signal a possible reversal.
Curves steepen: 2s10s +1.015 at 57.915, 5s30s +.269 at 102.048.
Bbg US$ index extended lows/bounced: BBDXY at 1212.16 -2.66.