LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 28-Feb | 0900 | IT | ISTAT Consumer/Business Confidence |
| 28-Feb | 1000 | EU | EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator |
| 28-Feb | 1100 | EU | ECB's Lagarde & Cipollone in G20/CB Governors meeting |
| 29-Feb | 0700 | DE | Retail Sales |
| 29-Feb | 0745 | FR | GDP (f) / Consumer Spending/ HICP (p) / PPI |
| 29-Feb | 0800 | ES | HICP (p) |
| 29-Feb | 0855 | DE | Unemployment |
| 29-Feb | 0900 | DE | North Rhine Westphalia CPI/ Bavaria CPI |
| 29-Feb | 1300 | DE | HICP (p) |
| 01-Mar | 0815 | ES | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 01-Mar | 0845 | IT | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 01-Mar | 0850 | FR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 01-Mar | 0855 | DE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 01-Mar | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 01-Mar | 1000 | EU | HICP (p)/ Unemployment |
| 01-Mar | 1000 | IT | HICP (p) |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 29-Jan | 1310 | EU | ECB's de Guindos at Investment Outlook Conference |
| 30-Jan | 0630 | FR | Consumer Spending / GDP (p) |
| 30-Jan | 0700 | DE | GDP (p) |
| 30-Jan | 0800 | ES | HICP (p) / GDP (p) |
| 30-Jan | 0900 | IT | GDP (p) / PPI |
| 30-Jan | 0900 | EU | ECB's Lane on 'a year with the euro in Croatia' |
| 30-Jan | 1000 | EU | EZ Prelim. Flash GDP / Economic Sentiment Indicator |
| 31-Jan | 0700 | DE | Import/Export Prices / Retail Sales |
| 31-Jan | 0745 | FR | HICP (p) / PPI |
| 31-Jan | 0855 | DE | Unemployment |
| 31-Jan | 0900 | DE | North Rhine Westphalia / Bavaria CPI |
| 31-Jan | 1300 | DE | HICP (p) |
EURJPY TECHS: Corrective Pullback
- RES 4: 164.30 High Nov 16 and key resistance
- RES 3: 163.72 High Nov 27
- RES 2: 162.25 High Nov 29
- RES 1: 161.86 High Jan 19 and the bull trigger
- PRICE: 160.43 @ 06:15 GMT Jan 29
- SUP 1: 159.71 20-day EMA
- SUP 2: 158.55 Low Jan 12 and a key short-term support
- SUP 3: 157.21 Low Jan 9
- SUP 4: 156.08 Low Jan 4
The EURJPY trend condition remains bullish and the latest pullback appears to be a correction. The recent breach of resistance at 160.18, the Jan 11 high, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend. Note that 161.69, 76.4% of the Nov 16 - Dec 7 bear leg, has been pierced. A clear break of this retracement point would open 162.25, the Nov 29 high. Initial firm support is at 158.55, the Jan 12 low.
GILT TECHS: (H4) Bear Cycle Remains In Play
- RES 4: 101.98 High Jan 3
- RES 3: 100.81 High Jan 5
- RES 2: 100.00 Round number resistance
- RES 1: 99.43 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 98.34 @ Close Jan 29
- SUP 1: 97.57 Low Jan 25
- SUP 2: 97.39 Low Dec 11 and a key support
- SUP 3: 96.67 Low Dec 5
- SUP 4: 96.10 Low Nov 30
The trend needle in Gilt futures continues to point south and last week’s bearish extension reinforces current conditions. The contract recently cleared support at 99.60, the Jan 5 low. This confirmed a resumption of the downtrend that started Dec 27, signalling scope for a continuation lower towards 97.39, the Dec 11 low. Firm resistance to watch is 99.43, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of the average would ease bearish pressure.
