LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 22-Feb | 0745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
| 22-Feb | 0815 | FR | S&P Global Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
| 22-Feb | 0830 | DE | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing PMI (p) |
| 22-Feb | 0900 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
| 22-Feb | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
| 22-Feb | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) |
| 23-Feb | 0700 | DE | GDP (f) |
| 23-Feb | 0800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting |
| 23-Feb | 0800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos,Cipollone in ECONFIN meeting |
| 23-Feb | 0900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
| 23-Feb | 0900 | EU | ECB Consumer Expectations Survey |
| 23-Feb | 0920 | EU | ECB's Schnabel lecture on Inflation fight at Bocconi |
| 23-Feb | 1300 | EU | ECB's Schnabel speech at Forum Analysis |
| 23-Feb | 1400 | BE | BNB Business Sentiment |
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US TSY FUTURES: TU Blocked
The flow highlight during Asia-Pac hours came via a 1.5K lots block of TUH4 futures at 102-19.125, looked like a seller. DV01 ~$57K.
EURGBP TECHS: Bear Threat Remains Present
- RES 4: 0.8768 High Nov 20
- RES 3: 0.8715 High Dec 28 and the bull trigger
- RES 2: 0.8676 High Jan 3
- RES 1: 0.8605/28 20- and 50-day EMA values
- PRICE: 0.8561 @ 06:06 GMT Jan 23
- SUP 1: 0.8549 Low Dec 11 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: 0.8524 Low Sep 5
- SUP 3: 0.8493 Low Aug 23 2023 and a key medium-term support
- SUP 4: 0.8454 61.8% of the Mar 7 - Sep 26 ‘23 bull phase
EURGBP is unchanged. A bear threat remains present and the cross continues to trade closer to its recent lows. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a clear downtrend - for now. Sights are on key support at 0.8549, the Dec 11 low. A break would open 0.8493, the Aug 23 ‘23 low and a key support. The 50-day EMA, at 0.8628, is the initial firm resistance to watch. Clearance of the average would ease bearish pressure.
SCHATZ TECHS: (H4) Bearish Conditions Intact
- RES 4: 106.640 High Dec 29 and the bull trigger
- RES 3: 106.360 Low Jan 3
- RES 2: 106.270 High Jan 5
- RES 1: 106.094 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 105.865 @ 06:26 GMT Jan 22
- SUP 1: 105.780 Low Dec 1 and Jan 19
- SUP 2: 105.730 Low Nov 30
- SUP 3: 105.660 High Nov 17
- SUP 4: 105.470 Low Nov 28
The downtrend in Schatz futures remains intact. A key short-term support at 105.955, the Dec 13 low, has recently been cleared. This strengthens a bearish theme and signals scope for a continuation lower. Sights are on 105.730 next, the Nov 30 low. Initial key resistance is 106.270, the Jan 5 / 12 high. A clear breach of this hurdle would ease bearish pressure and signal a reversal. First resistance is 106.094, the 20-day EMA.
