Date | Time | Country | Event |
22-Feb | 0745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
22-Feb | 0815 | FR | S&P Global Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
22-Feb | 0830 | DE | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing PMI (p) |
22-Feb | 0900 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
22-Feb | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
22-Feb | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) |
23-Feb | 0700 | DE | GDP (f) |
23-Feb | 0800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting |
23-Feb | 0800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos,Cipollone in ECONFIN meeting |
23-Feb | 0900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
23-Feb | 0900 | EU | ECB Consumer Expectations Survey |
23-Feb | 0920 | EU | ECB's Schnabel lecture on Inflation fight at Bocconi |
23-Feb | 1300 | EU | ECB's Schnabel speech at Forum Analysis |
23-Feb | 1400 | BE | BNB Business Sentiment |
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The flow highlight during Asia-Pac hours came via a 1.5K lots block of TUH4 futures at 102-19.125, looked like a seller. DV01 ~$57K.
EURGBP is unchanged. A bear threat remains present and the cross continues to trade closer to its recent lows. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a clear downtrend - for now. Sights are on key support at 0.8549, the Dec 11 low. A break would open 0.8493, the Aug 23 ‘23 low and a key support. The 50-day EMA, at 0.8628, is the initial firm resistance to watch. Clearance of the average would ease bearish pressure.
The downtrend in Schatz futures remains intact. A key short-term support at 105.955, the Dec 13 low, has recently been cleared. This strengthens a bearish theme and signals scope for a continuation lower. Sights are on 105.730 next, the Nov 30 low. Initial key resistance is 106.270, the Jan 5 / 12 high. A clear breach of this hurdle would ease bearish pressure and signal a reversal. First resistance is 106.094, the 20-day EMA.