LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 08-Feb | 1530 | EU | ECB's Lane at Brookings Institution |
| 09-Feb | 0700 | DE | HICP (f) |
| 09-Feb | 0900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 09-Feb | 1415 | EU | ECB's Cipollone speaks at Assiom Forex Annual Congress |
| 10-Feb | 0900 | EU | The ECB Podcast on future euro banknotes |
| 12-Feb | 0945 | EU | ECB's Lane at conference on statistics post pandemic |
| 12-Feb | 1315 | EU | ECB's Lane participates in 'post-pandemic' roundtable |
| 12-Feb | 1550 | EU | ECB's Cipollone participates in panel on Euro@25 |
| 13-Feb | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Expectations/ Conditions Index |
| 14-Feb | 0830 | EU | ECB's De Guindos at Mediterranean CB's conference |
| 14-Feb | 1000 | EU | Industrial Production/ GDP (p) |
| 14-Feb | 1400 | EU | ECB's Cipollone statement on digital euro |
| 15-Feb | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 15-Feb | 0800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde statement at ECON hearing |
| 15-Feb | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
| 15-Feb | 1200 | EU | ECB's Lane seminar at Florence School |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 09-Jan | 0700 | DE | Industrial Production |
| 09-Jan | 0745 | FR | Foreign Trade |
| 09-Jan | 1000 | EU | Unemployment |
| 10-Jan | 0745 | FR | Industrial Production |
| 10-Jan | -0100 | EU | ECB's De Guindos speech at Spain Investor Day |
| 10-Jan | 1000 | IT | Retail Sales |
| 11-Jan | 0800 | ES | Industrial Production |
| 11-Jan | 0900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 12-Jan | 0745 | FR | HICP (f) / Consumer Spending |
| 12-Jan | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 12-Jan | 1230 | EU | ECB's Lane Speech + Q&A at REBUILD Annual Conference |
| 15-Jan | 0800 | DE | German Annual 2023 GDP First Estimate |
| 15-Jan | 0900 | EU | ECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting |
| 15-Jan | 1000 | EU | Industrial Production / Trade |
GILT TECHS: (H4) Maintains A Softer Tone
- RES 4: 103.94 High Dec 27 and the bull trigger
- RES 3: 103.33 High Dec 29
- RES 2: 101.98 High Jan 3
- RES 1: 100.97 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 100.45 @ Close Jan 08
- SUP 1: 99.60 Low Jan 05
- SUP 2: 98.97 High Dec 6 and a recent breakout level
- SUP 3: 97.39 Low Dec 11
- SUP 4: 96.67 Low Dec 5
Gilt futures maintain a softer tone and the contract is trading closer to its recent lows. Last week’s move lower resulted in a break of the 20-day EMA, suggesting scope for a continuation of the bear cycle near-term. This has exposed support at 98.97, the Dec 6 high. On the upside, initial firm resistance to watch is at 101.98, the Jan 3 high. A break would ease bearish pressure.
USDJPY TECHS: Trend Signals Remain Bearish
- RES 4: 147.32 High Dec 7
- RES 3: 146.59 High Dec 11
- RES 2: 145.97 High Jan 05 and short-term bull trigger
- RES 1: 145.28 50-day EMA
- PRICE: 143.83 @ 06:01 GMT Jan 09
- SUP 1: 142.86 Low Jan 4
- SUP 2: 141.86 Low Jan 3
- SUP 3: 140.25 Low Dec 28 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: 139.11 2.236 proj of the Nov 13 - 21 - 22 price swing
The move lower in USDJPY from last Friday’s high means that resistance around the 50-day EMA - at 145.28 - remains intact for now. Trend signals remain bearish and the recent impulsive rally appears to be a correction. A continuation lower would refocus attention on 140.25, the Dec 28 low. On the upside, resistance to watch is 145.97, Friday’s high. A break of this level would be a bullish development.
