LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Jan-25 06:18
Date Time Country Event
25-Jan 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
25-Jan 0800 ES PPI
25-Jan 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
25-Jan 1315 EU ECB Deposit/Main Refi/Marginal Lending Rate
25-Jan 1345 EU ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference
25-Jan 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
25-Jan 1515 EU ECB's Lagarde ECB Podcast
26-Jan 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate
26-Jan 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
26-Jan 0900 EU M3
29-Jan 1200 EU ECB's de Guindos on Investment Outlook
30-Jan 0630 FR Consumer Spending/ GDP (p) / HICP (p)
30-Jan 0800 ES GDP (p)
30-Jan 0900 IT GDP (p) / PPI
30-Jan 0900 EU ECB's Lane on 'a year with the euro in Croatia'
30-Jan 1000 EU EMU Preliminary Flash GDP Q/Q and Y/Y
30-Jan 1000 EU EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator

Historical bullets

USDCAD TECHS: Bears Remain In The Driver’s Seat

Dec-22 21:00
  • RES 4: 1.3712 High Nov 24
  • RES 3: 1.3619 High Dec 7 and 12 and key short-term resistance
  • RES 2: 1.3576 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 1.3415/3495 High Dec 15 / 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.3247 @ 15:41 GMT Dec 22
  • SUP 1: 1.3219 Low Dec 22
  • SUP 2: 1.3184 Low Aug 1
  • SUP 3: 1.3175 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 4: 1.3151 Low Jul 31

The USDCAD trend outlook remains bearish and price traded lower again Friday. The pair has recently cleared the bear trigger at 1.3480, the Dec 4 low. That break confirmed a resumption of the downtrend and maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Sights are on 1.3184, the Aug 1 low. On the upside, key short-term resistance has been defined at 1.3619, the Dec 7 / 12 high.

AUDUSD TECHS: Heading North

Dec-22 20:30
  • RES 4: 0.6921 High Feb 20
  • RES 3: 0.6900 High Jun 16 and a key resistance
  • RES 2: 0.6847 High Jul 20
  • RES 1: 0.6825 High Dec 22
  • PRICE: 0.6811 @ 15:39 GMT Dec 22
  • SUP 1: 0.6779 Low Dec 21
  • SUP 2: 0.6644/6526 20-day EMA / Low Dec 07 and key support
  • SUP 3: 0.6494 Low Nov 20
  • SUP 4: 0.6453 Low Nov 17

Bullish trend conditions in AUDUSD remain intact and Thursday’s rally reinforces current conditions. The pair is also trading higher Friday. This week’s gains mark an extension of the recent breach of resistance at 0.6691, the Dec 4 high and a bull trigger. Scope is seen for a climb towards 0.6847 next, the Jul 20 high. On the downside, key short-term support is unchanged at 0.6526, the Dec 7 low. Initial firm support is at 0.6644, the 20-day EMA.

EURJPY TECHS: Resistance Remains Intact

Dec-22 20:00
  • RES 4: 161.78 High Dec 1
  • RES 3: 159.93 High Dec 4
  • RES 2: 159.01 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 158.67 High Dec 12
  • PRICE: 156.82 @ 15:38 GMT Dec 22
  • SUP 1: 155.39/153.23 Low Dec 19 / 7 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 152.24 3.764 proj of the Nov 16 - 21 - 27 price swing
  • SUP 3: 151.42 Low Jul 28 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 150.92 Low Jun 14

EURJPY traded sharply higher Tuesday breaching resistance at 157.68, the Dec 11 high. The cross has since pulled back. The next key hurdle to watch is 158.67, the Dec 12 high. Clearance of this level would signal a short-term reversal. Below 158.67, the recent recovery appears to be a correction and trend signals remain bearish. A continuation lower and a break of 153.23, the Dec 7 low and bear trigger, would resume the downtrend.