LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 12-Oct | 0840 | EU | ECB's Elderson attends EC Summit |
| 12-Oct | 1200 | EU | ECB's Panetta participates in IMF Panel |
| 13-Oct | 0745 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 13-Oct | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 13-Oct | 1000 | EU | Industrial Production |
| 13-Oct | 1400 | EU | ECB's Lagarde participates in IMF seminar |
| 16-Oct | 0900 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
| 16-Oct | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
| 17-Oct | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions / Expectations Index |
| 17-Oct | 1800 | EU | ECB's De Guindos Speech at Conference |
| 18-Oct | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) / Construction |
| 19-Oct | 0745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment / Retail Sales |
| 19-Oct | 0900 | EU | EZ Current Account |
| 20-Oct | 0700 | DE | PPI |
| 23-Oct | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 12-Sep | 0900 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 12-Sep | 1105 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions/Expectations Index |
| 13-Sep | 1100 | EU | Industrial Production |
| 13-Sep | - | EU | EC State of the Union Address |
| 14-Sep | 1415 | EU | ECB Deposit/Main Refi/Marginal Lending Rate |
| 14-Sep | 1615 | EU | ECB's Lagarde speaks at Podcast |
| 15-Sep | 0845 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 15-Sep | 1000 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
| 15-Sep | 1100 | EU | Trade Balance / Labour Force Survey (Q2) |
| 15-Sep | 1145 | EU | ECB's Lagarde & Panetta speak in Spain |
| 18-Sep | 1100 | EU | ECB's de Guindos Speaks at Event |
| 19-Sep | 1000 | EU | EZ Current Account |
| 19-Sep | 1100 | EU | HICP (f) |
| 19-Sep | 1430 | EU | ECB's Elderson Speaks at Banking Union Conference |
USDJPY TECHS: Trend Direction Remains Up
- RES 4: 148.85 High Oct 31 2022
- RES 3: 148.60 2.236 projection of the Jul 14 - 21 - 28 price swing
- RES 2: 148.40 High Nov 4 2022
- RES 1: 147.87 High Sep 7 / 8
- PRICE: 146.75 @ 06:15 BST Sep 12
- SUP 1: 145.91/07 Low Sep 11 / High Jun 30
- SUP 2: 144.45 Low Sep 1 and key support
- SUP 3: 144.17 50-day EMA
- SUP 4: 142.41 Low Aug 8
The USDJPY trend condition remains bullish and the latest pullback is considered corrective. Resistance at 147.37, the Aug 29 high and a bull trigger, was breached last week. This confirms a resumption of the uptrend and opens 148.40 next, the Nov 4 2022 high. On the downside, 144.45 represents the key short-term support, the Sep 1 low. A break of this level is required to highlight a short-term top.
GILT TECHS: (Z3) Recent Gains Considered Corrective
- RES 4: 96.19 High Jul 31(cont)
- RES 3: 95.82 High Aug 10 (cont)
- RES 2: 95.79 High Sep 1 and key resistance
- RES 1: 94.95 High Sep 8
- PRICE: 94.18 @ Close Sep 11
- SUP 1: 93.36 Low Sep 6
- SUP 2: 93.12 61.8 retracement of the Aug 17 - Sep 1 rally
- SUP 3: 92.56 Low Aug 23
- SUP 4: 91.47 Low Aug 17 and key support
The short-term outlook in Gilt futures remains bearish, despite the latest recovery. A move lower earlier last week resulted in a break of support at 94.14, the Aug 29 low. The breach undermines the recent bullish theme and highlights potential for a deeper retracement with next key support at 93.12, a Fibonacci retracement. On the upside, key short-term resistance is 95.79, the Sep 1 high. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bullish theme.
