BONDS: Europe Pi: German Contracts Fading Previous Long Lean (1/2)

May-21 17:34

From our Europe Pi update out earlier (PDF is Here)

  • GERMANY: German contracts are fading some of the long lean seen in April. Schatz remains "very long" for now. Bobl however has left long territory and is now flat. Bund and Buxl each remain in flat positioning. Shorts were set in Buxl in the past week, with longs set in Schatz, Bobl and Bund. 
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Source: Eurex, ICE, BBG, MNI Calculations
  • OAT: OAT remains in "flat"  structural positioning, where it has been for all of May after a spell in short territory in March/April. The most recent week's trade was indicative of long setting.
  • GILT: Gilt structural positioning remains "very long" into the roll, compared with "flat" where it spent most of the prior 7 months. The latest week saw some some shorts set. 
  • BTP: BTP remains in its typical "long" territory. Trade indicative of short covering was seen in the most recent week.
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Source: Eurex, ICE, BBG, MNI Calculations

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday Data Calendar: Fed Speakers, Richmond Fed Data, 2Y Note Sale

Apr-21 16:34
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
  • 22-Apr 0830 Philadelphia Fed Non-Mfg Activity (-32.5, --)
  • 22-Apr 0900 Fed Gov Jefferson, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 0930 Philly Fed Harker, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Mfg Index (-4, -6)
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Business Conditions (-14, --)
  • 22-Apr 1130 US Tsy $70B 6W bill auction
  • 22-Apr 1300 US Tsy $69B 2Y Note auction (91282CMY4)
  • 22-Apr 1340 MN Fed Kashkari Speaks moderated discussion
  • 22-Apr 1430 Richmond Fed Barkin fireside chat (no text, Q&A)
  • 22-Apr 1800 Fed Gov Kugler on Mon/Pol Transmission (text, Q&A)

US TSY FUTURES: BLCK: Jun'25 5Y Buy

Apr-21 16:01
  • +6,500 FVM5 108-16.25, buy through 108-15.75 post time offer at 1148:59ET, DV01 $267,000. The 5Y contract trades 108-15.75 last (+2.5)

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $5B Amex 4Pt Launched

Apr-21 15:57

Amex dropped the 6NC5 SOFR leg:

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 04/21 $5B #American Express $1.6B 4NC3 +98, $400M 4NC3 SOFR+126, $1.5B 6NC5 +108, $1.5B 11NC10 +128
  • 04/21 $700M Excelerate Energy 5NC2
  • 04/21 $2B QXO Inc. 7NC3 investor calls