POWER: EU End of Day Power Summary: CWE August Moves in Mixed Directions

Jul-11 15:24

CWE front-month power futures struggle to find a clear direction on Friday, with France holding onto small losses, while the German market trades rangebound with mixed movements in the energy complex.

  • Nordic Base Power AUG 25 up 0.5% at 30.5 EUR/MWh
  • France Base Power AUG 25 down 1.7% at 50.5 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power AUG 25 up 0.1% at 82.25 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 25 down 0.3% at 70.55 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas AUG 25 up 1.4% at 35.66 EUR/MWh
  • TTF front month is on track for a net gain on the week with support today from expectations of higher cooling demand from warm weather outlooks in Europe and some signs of increasing LNG demand in parts of Asia.
  • EUAs are edging lower on the day amid a possible ninth consecutive session of below-average daily trading volume and potential rising short positioning, despite a brief recovery following a morning spike in trades that failed to sustain.
  • Germany has the potential to install up to 500GW of solar PV capacity, according to Fraunhofer ISE.
  • The German Federal Council has passed a resolution urging the Federal Government to implement the EU Action Plan for Steel and Metals adopted in March 2025, aiming to strengthen competitiveness and climate alignment amid rising decarbonisation and trade pressures.
  • The German spot power index declined for Saturday’s delivery amid lower demand and higher wind output. The French equivalent increased for base load amid expectations for lower nuclear availability and lower wind, weighed against lower demand.
  • The Crown Estate announced this week to launch a regional supply chain programme to support the floating offshore wind supply chain.
  • Poland’s URE will launch the third CHP tender on 22-24 September.
  • Slovenia’s Mochovce 3 nuclear reactor has shut down amid planned maintenance. 

Historical bullets

TARIFFS: Lutnick Says China Won't Get "Our Best Chips"

Jun-11 15:21

Reuters carrying comments from US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, speaking to CNBC on the US-China trade framework struck after two days of talks in London. 

  • Lutnick notes that US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping have to “approve final wording” of the deal. The tone of Trump’s Truth Social post earlier today suggests he is likely to endorse the agreement.
  • Lutnick said: “China is going to approve all applications for magnets for US companies,” referring to rare earth components that are critical for a range of high-tech products.
  • Lutnick appeared to suggest that the tariff rate agreed in London will be final: “You can say China tariff levels won't change from here.”
  • On export controls, which come under the purview of his Commerce Department, Lutnick said the Chinese side “always wants to remove export controls,” but added "We are not going to give China our best chips.”
  • Lutnick continued, “They've agreed we are going to examine how China can do more business with us.”
  • In his ongoing testimony to the House Ways and Means Committee, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted a short time ago that the Trump administration will continue to take a firm line on China’s industrial overcapacity. 
  • Speaking more broadly on trade, Lutnick said, “deal after deal” will start coming next week. Bloomberg reports that EU negotiators see trade talks stretching beyond the July 9 deadline, despite an uptick in talks.

FED: US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $564 MLN FROM $60.000 BLN TOTAL

Jun-11 15:15
  • US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $564 MLN FROM $60.000 BLN TOTAL

EU-UK: Agreement Reached On Gibraltar As EU To Manage Border Checks

Jun-11 15:08

European Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security Maros Sefcovic has confirmed the EU, UK and Spain have reached an agreement on the status of the British Overseas Territory of Gibraltar. Reuters reports the UK Foreign Office says that "The UK, alongside the gov't of Gibraltar, reaches a political agreement with the EU to protect British sovereignty, UK military authority, and secure Gibraltar's economic future. The agreement provides a practical solution to avoid the need for 'onerous checks' and long delays at the border." 

  • The joint statement confirms that "the Parties agreed to establish dual Gibraltar and Schengen border checks at Gibraltar port and airport – to be carried out in full cooperation between the EU and UK/Gibraltar authorities, removing all checks at the crossing point between Gibraltar and La Linea [...]. For the EU, full Schengen checks will be carried out by Spain. For the UK, full Gibraltar checks will continue to be carried out as they are today. " The Daily Telegraph reported earlier the system will mirror that used for the Eurostar train service, with UK border guards checking passports first, then French (or in Gibraltar's case, Spanish) guards checking on British soil to ensure a frictionless exit.
  • For the UK, retaining Gibraltar's ability to act as a strategic military base has been of paramount concern. It remains to be seen how Spain effectively policing entry to the British territory affects the operations of the UK armed forces on the rock.