EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: EU-bills on offer next week

Jan-27 11:03
  • Up to E1.0bln of the 3-month May 5, 2023 EU-bill
  • Up to E1.5bln of the new 6-month Aug 4, 2023 EU-bill

Historical bullets

GREECE T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 26-week GTBs

Dec-28 10:28
Type 26-week GTB
Maturity Jun 30, 2023
Amount E487.5mln
Target E375mln
Previous E625mln
Avg yield 2.500%
Previous 2.350%
Bid-to-cover 2.66x
Previous 2.76x
Previous date Nov 30, 2022

BONDS: Gilts moves today larger than 2-day moves in USTs / Bunds

Dec-28 09:20
  • Gilts are the biggest movers this morning with the moves in 10-year gilt yields this morning larger than the 2-day moves seen in both 10-year UST and Bunds. Gilt yields are just under 10bp higher on the day while in 2-day moves 10-year Bund yields are up 9.1bp and 10-year UST yields are up 8.2bp. However, today we have actually seen Bunds move higher and lead Treasuries higher too: 10-year Bund yields are down 3.4bp on the day and 10-year UST yields down 1.3bp.
  • Over 2 days curves are substantially different, however. The gilt curve is marginally flatter with 2-year gilt yields in excess of 10bp higher while 2-year UST yields are 5.5bp higher over 2-days (unch today) and Schatz yields are 2.2bp higher over 2-days (down 2.9bp today).
  • There have been no real headline drivers behind today's moves - it seems to be just a pullback from the lows seen yesterday.
  • Later today we will see a Greek 26-week bill auction, US 17-week bill auction, US 2-year FRN auction and US 5-year Note auction.

USDCAD TECHS: Outlook Remains Bullish Despite The Latest Pullback

Dec-28 08:40
  • RES 4: 1.3855 High Oct 21 - Nov 16 bear leg
  • RES 3: 1.3808 High Nov 3 and a key resistance
  • RES 2: 1.3751 High Nov 4
  • RES 1: 1.3617/3705 High Dec 26 / 16 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 1.3523 @ 08:31 GMT Dec 28
  • SUP 1: 1.3484 Low Dec 27
  • SUP 2: 1.3369 Former trendline resistance
  • SUP 3: 1.3317/3226 Low Nov 24/25 / Low Nov 15 and bear trigger
  • SUP 4: 1.3205 61.8% retracement of the Aug 11 - Oct 13 rally

USDCAD traded lower Tuesday and price remains below its recent highs. Despite the pullback, short-term conditions remain bullish. The recent break of trendline resistance, drawn from the Oct 13 high, strengthened the bullish argument and this has opened 1.3751, the Nov 4 high. On the downside, a break below the former trendline resistance - at 1.3369 - would be bearish and expose 1.3317, the Nov 24/25 low.