JPY: Volumes Surge on Intervention Speculation, But Similar Spikes Seen in '23
Mar-27 09:14
No surprise to see a spike in volumes for JPY futures on these Japanese headlines - over 8,000 contracts traded inside 60 seconds - but worth noting we saw similar moves and volumes spikes on a handful of occasions in October last year that generated speculation of intervention (e.g. ~10k on Oct26, ~20k on Oct17), after which the BoJ confirmed that no intervention had taken place at all over that month.
Meeting set to start in ~5 minutes, with Kanda briefing to follow afterwards.
RIKSBANK: GDP Revised Slightly Higher In March MPR Forecasts
Mar-27 09:13
Rounding out the other key forecast changes in the March MPR:
The level of GDP is revised slightly higher, with the Q1 '24 GDP expected at 0.0% Q/Q and Q2 and 0.4% Q/Q.
The unemployment rate path has been revised lower. From the MPR: "The weak GDP growth is expected to have a relatively limited impact on the Swedish
labour market going forward. This is in part due to companies being reluctant to
reduce their workforces despite weak demand, something which is confirmed by the
Riksbank’s Business Survey".
CPIF ex-energy has been revised slightly lower in the first half of 2024, with smaller changes further out.
In addition: "The Riksbank assess the krona to be undervalued and will appreciate
gradually during the forecast period"