EM CEEMEA CREDIT: Emirates NBD Bank: Q3 earnings, supportive read

Oct-23 09:53

(EBIUH; A1/NR/A+)

  • UAE’s Emirates NBD released Q3 earnings, which beat estimates; all in a supportive read for credit. Strong profitability supports growth and stable, conservative capital, whilst asset quality improves further.
  • Q3 ’25 NII +6% y/y  at AED9bn, other income +24% y/y at AED3.8bn (of which F&C AED2.15bn), op Exp +9% y/y, leaves op Income +11% y/y at AED8.8bn.
  • PBT sat at AED8.0bn, +26% y/y, sequentially +4% q/q. Profitability remains sequentially in line with NIM at 3.37%, -38bp y/y on strong Turkish contribution and resilient domestic performance. Guidance confirmed in 3.3-3.5% range.
  • Efficiency measures are adequate with stable C/I ratio at 30.8%, within =<33% guidance.
  • Strong lending growth shows in B/S expansion with total assets at almost AED1.14tn, sequentially +19% q/q. Gross loans +20% y/y to AED628bn, supported by growth in deposit base +18% y/y to AED760bn (of which CASA 60%). Guidance for lending growth revised to “low 20%s” on the back of this.
  • Asset quality remains on a solid trajectory with NPL ratio at 2.5%, 30bp improvement sequentially. Stage 3 coverage at 88.9% for 9M.
  • Liquidity remains adequate with LCR at 149%. A conservative capital position underpins the growth in RWA, with internal capital generation supportive of sequentially stable CET1 at 14.7%.

Historical bullets

BOE: ILTR usage increases - but not enough to offset STR fall last week

Sep-23 09:48
  • ILTR usage of GBP2.352bln is a smaller take up than the previous two weeks but replaces the GBP1.337bln rolling off and hence sees the total programme usage increase to GBP35.7bln from GBP34.7bln last week (which was also a record).
  • However the reduction in the STR usage last week was greater than today's increase in ILTR usage so repo-led balances are expected to fall again this week after a GBP1.9bln fall last week.

DENMARK: PM Calls Airport Drone Incident "An Attack" Amid Ministerial Reshuffle

Sep-23 09:46

Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has said that the drone incident at Copenhagen Airport on the night of 22 September was "an attack", saying they were the "most serious" incidents to affect critical infrastructure "to date". Speaking to reporters, Frederiksen said the incident, which also saw drones flying near Oslo Airport in Norway, resulting in the grounding of flights, must be seen in the light of other incidents affecting NATO member states in recent weeks. These include mass drone incursions in Poland and Romania, airspace incursions in Estonia, and cyberattacks on airports in the UK, Belgium, and Germany. The PM said she "cannot deny in any way that it was Russia" behind the incursion at Katsrup. 

  • For the PM, the incursion comes at an inopportune moment as her centre-left Social Democrats are engaged in a ministerial reshuffle. TV2 reports "Tax Minister Rasmus Stoklund will become the new Minister of Immigration and Integration, taking over the position from Kaare Dybvad Bek. Dybvad Bek will become Minister of Employment, while Ane Halsboe-Jørgensen will become Minister of Taxation."
  • Stoklund is viewed as sitting on the right of the party and taking on the immigration portfolio could prove better placed to head off attacks from the right-wing nationalist Danish People's Party, which has recovered support in recent months.
  • The next election is not due until Oct 2026 at the latest. Nevertheless, two of the past four Voxmeter polls have shown the right-leaning 'blue bloc' ahead of the Social Democrat-led 'red bloc', potentially spurring action from Frederisken to bolster party support. 

BTP: Block trade

Sep-23 09:44

BTP Block trade, suggest buyer:

  • IKZ5 1.13k at 119.77.