US NATGAS: EIA Drilling Productivity Report: a modest return to growth

Mar-21 14:23
  • Feb 2025 EIA drilling productivity report has shale activity up after 2year depression
  • Both completions and DUCs rising
  • Peak 2022 cycle of nearly 1200 drilled wells, bottoming around 900 wells drilled in mid2024, and rebounding to 935 in Feb. 2025
  • DUC completions were a major driver of production growth and stability over the past five years, with DUC count dropping from >10,000 to just above 5,000 end 2024
  • In the Feb report, DUC count added 7 to 5,287 potentially indicating a reversal of the downward trend
  • Added drilled gas wells spread out between the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Appalachia

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call fly buyer

Feb-19 14:15

ERM5 97.9375/98.0625/98.1875c fly, bought for 1.25 in 7k.

EQUITIES: EU Bank outright put buyer

Feb-19 14:11

SX7E (17th April) 155p, bought for 1.05 in 12k.

EGB OPTIONS: Bobl Put Spread

Feb-19 14:10

OEH5 117.00/117.25ps, bought for 18 in 7.5k.