OIL PRODUCTS: Egypt's Diesel Imports at Record High in July

Jul-16 13:55

Egypt’s diesel imports jumped to a record of more than 370k b/d in the first 15 days of July, Bloomberg reports citing Vortexa data, up 65% y/y and 35% above June’s volumes. 

  • Egypt has sharply ramped up diesel imports after regional conflicts forced Israel to halt pipeline natural gas supplies last month.
  • Preliminary data for all of July points to volumes holding near record levels observed so far, though changing market dynamics may alter some vessel destinations.
  • The increasing diesel imports, primarily from the Middle East and Russia, have diverted barrels away from Northwest Europe and the Mediterranean.
  • Diesel refining margins are exceptionally strong in Europe as the crack is well above its typical seasonal levels.
  • Dwindling diesel stockpiles in the ARA hub are drawing barrels from the USGC, tightening the Atlantic Basin’s diesel market.
  • “As we head toward the winter months, diesel could remain tight due to the seasonal refinery maintenance in September, however mitigated somewhat by the declining needs for power generation,” a Vortexa analyst said.  
egdiesel

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: US Program Buyer on the Open

Jun-16 13:43
  • Program buyer on the Cash Open, 1499 names, the most since 27th May.
  • Next Immediate resistance in SPX comes at 6059.40, last Week's high, and also the best printed level since February, the Index is now trading at 6021.42.

USDCAD TECHS: Southbound

Jun-16 13:41
  • RES 4: 1.4200 Round number resistance
  • RES 3: 1.4111 High Apr 4
  • RES 2: 1.3861/1.4016 50-day EMA / High May 12 and 13
  • RES 1: 1.3732 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.3542 @ 14:41 BST Jun 16
  • SUP 1: 1.3535 1.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 2: 1.3503 1.618 proj of the Feb 3 - 14 - Mar 4 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.3473 Low Oct 2 2024
  • SUP 4: 1.3410 1.764 proj of the Feb 3 - 14 - Mar 4 price swing

The trend needle in USDCAD continues to point south and fresh cycle lows last week and again today, reinforce a bearish theme. Support at 1.3686, the May 26 low and a bear trigger, has been cleared, confirming a resumption of the downtrend. This maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Sights are on 1.3535 next, envelope-based support, and 1.3503, a Fibonacci projection.Resistance at the 20-day EMA is at 1.3732.

SONIA: Ratio Call Spread vs Put

Jun-16 13:36

0NU5 96.90/97.40cs 1x1.25 vs 96.10p, bought the cs for 0.5625 in 10k.