BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Ending The Week With Twist Flattening

May-30 18:16

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European curves lightly twist flattened Friday, with long-end instruments continuing to rally. * Co...

Historical bullets

EURGBP TECHS: Bear Cycle Extends

Apr-30 18:00
  • RES 4: 0.8781 2.236 proj of the Mar 3 - 11 - 28 price swing     
  • RES 3: 0.8768 High Nov 20 ‘23
  • RES 2: 0.8624/0.8738 High Apr 21/ High Apr 11 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 0.8557 High Apr 28 
  • PRICE: 0.8500 @ 16:28 BST Apr 30 
  • SUP 1: 0.8482 Low April 30
  • SUP 2: 0.8477/60 61.8% of the Mar 28 - Apr 11 rally / 50-day EMA  
  • SUP 3: 0.8415 76.4% retracement of the Mar 28 - Apr 11 rally 
  • SUP 4: 0.8316 Low Mar 28 and a key support  

EURGBP was sold off a mid-session rally, keeping the technical picture intact and highlighting a continuation of the current bear cycle. Sights are on 0.8477, a Fibonacci retracement point where a break would strengthen the bearish theme. Support at the 50-day EMA, is at 0.8460. It is still possible that the move down that started Apr 11, is a correction. A reversal and a resumption of gains would open 0.8738, the Apr 11 high and bull trigger. 

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

Apr-30 17:59

RRP usage jumps to $250.601B this afternoon from $157.537B yesterday. So far this year, usage had fallen to $54.772B last Wednesday, April 16 -- lowest level since April 2021. Conversely, usage had surged to the highest level since December 31, 2024 on Monday, March 31: $399.167B. The number of counterparties climbs to 54 from 37 yesterday.

reverse repo 04302025

PIPELINE

CAD: USDCAD At Session Lows On Trump-Carney Meetup Prospects

Apr-30 17:47

USDCAD dips to session lows of 1.3788 after US President Trump says that PM Carney will visit the White House within the next week, after Carney - as Trump put it - said "let's make a deal". Yesterday Carney said post-election that he'd speaking to Trump and the two had agreed to meet soon but this adds to the certainty and suggests Trump is positively disposed to a thawing in relations.

  • It's now outperforming most G10 peers, down 0.32% on the day in CAD's favor, and nearing 1.3781 - Apr 21 low (which was the lowest since Oct 2024) and the bear trigger per our tech analyst - beyond there, potential is seen for a move towards 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement.