EUROZONE ISSUANCE: EGB Supply

Jun-22 05:51

Slovakia, Belgium, Germany and Greece have all come to the market this week. We pencil in gross nominal issuance of E12.1bln for the week, notably down from last week’s E48.5bln.

  • On Friday, the DSTA will announce its plans for Dutch issuance in Q3-24 at 12:00BST / 13:00CET. In addition to these we may also receive H2 funding plans from the EU and Q3 funding plans from Germany.

For more on this week's issuance and a look ahead to next week's supply see the PDF here:

EZ230622.pdf

Historical bullets

EURJPY TECHS: Bull Cycle Still In Play

May-23 05:43
  • RES 4: 152.00 1.382 proj of the Mar 20 - 21 - Apr 6 price swing
  • RES 3: 151.61 High May 2 and the bull trigger
  • RES 2: 150.32 76.4% retracement of the May 2 - 11 bear leg
  • RES 1: 150.06 Intraday high
  • PRICE: 149.67 @ 06:42 BST May 23
  • SUP 1: 148.26 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 146.69/13 50-day EMA / Low May 11
  • SUP 3: 145.67 High Mar 31
  • SUP 4: 145.22 2.0% 10-dma envelope

EURJPY maintains a short-term bullish tone. A continuation higher would signal scope for a climb towards 150.32 next, a Fibonacci retracement, ahead of 151.61, the May 2 high and a bull trigger. The 50-day EMA, which intersects at 146.69 today, remains intact and marks a key support. A clear break of this average is required to signal a resumption of bearish activity. Initial support lies at 148.26, the 20-day EMA.

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: W/C May 22, 2023

May-23 05:41

Austria and Italy both still look to sell bills this week while Germany and France came to the market yesterday. We look for issuance at first round operations of E16.6bln, down from last week's E18.7bln.

  • This morning Austria will come to the market to launch the new 3-month Aug 24, 2023 Green ATB for E1.5bln and reopen E1.0bln of the 5-month Oct 27, 2023 ATB.
  • Italy will conclude this week's eurozone bill issuance on Friday, with a new 6-month BOT on offer. Further details including the auction size will be announced on Tuesday.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

May-23 05:23
Date UK Period Event
23-May 0700 Apr Public Sector Finances
23-May 0930 May S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI flash
23-May 1015 ---- BOE Bailey, Pill, Tenreyro, Mann at MPR Hearing
23-May 1545 ---- BOE Haskel Panellist at Richmond Fed Conference
24-May 0700 Apr Inflation Report
24-May 0930 Mar ONS House Price Index
24-May 1030 ---- BOE Bailey Keynote Speech at Mansion House Net Zero Summit
24-May 1100 May CBI Industrial Trends
24-May 1400 ---- BOE Bailey Fireside Chat at WSJ CEO Council Summit
25-May 1100 May CBI Distributive Trades
25-May 1730 ---- BOE Haskel Speech at Peterson Institute
26-May 0700 Apr Retail Sales
30-May 0001 May BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
31-May 0730 Q3 DMO to Publish Gilt Op Calendar for Jul-Sep
31-May 0930 Apr BOE Lending to Individuals / M4