Short end Eurodollar, SOFR, FF futures still shrply higher but off extremes last few minutes.
Fed terminal rate has fallen to 4.720 in June'23, down over 85bp for August late last week. Fed funds implied hike for Mar'23 at 15.7bp, May'23 cumulative 8.8bp to 4.586%, Jun'23 0.000bp to 4.497%. Rate cuts start pricing in for Jul'23: -23.2 cumulative at 4.273%.
Eurodollar futures are trading firmer across the strip, Whites (EDM3-EDH4) sharply higher: +0.345-0.820, New lead Eurodollar quarterly EDM3 +.345 at 94.77 vs. 94.955 high.
OPTIONS: CBOT Volatility Index Surges Higher
Mar-13 12:53
VIX index currently +5.52 at 30.32 vs. 30.81 high.
STIR: BLOCK: Sep'23 SOFR Put Spread
Mar-13 12:51
+20,000 SFRU3 95.00/95.25 put spds, 6.0 ref 95.825 at 0846:34ET.
Note, SFRU3 underlying futures are trading +0.965 at 95.84