EU UTILITIES: EDF: 1H25 Results

Jul-25 05:55

(EDF; Baa1/BBBpos/BBB+neg)

Results in line with its expectations. Credit neutral.

  • EBITDA fell 17% YoY on lower power prices, tracking with FY guidance. Power output was higher.
  • Group cash flow improved to €7.9bn from €5.9bn YoY with change in working capital outweighing lower EBITDA.
  • Reported 1.5x net leverage.
  • FY25 guidance confirmed.

Historical bullets

GOLD TECHS: Support To Watch Lies At The 50-Day EMA

Jun-25 05:53
  • RES 4: $3578.0 - 2.000 proj of the Dec 19 - Feb 24 - Feb 28 swing
  • RES 3: $3547.9 - 1.764 proj of the Feb 28 - Apr 3 - Apr 7 price swing
  • RES 2: $3500.1 - High Apr 22 and bull trigger
  • RES 1: $3451.3 - High Jun 16          
  • PRICE: $3332.1 @ 06:52 BST Jun 25 
  • SUP 1: $3287.7 - 50-day EMA
  • SUP 2: $3204.7 - Low May 20 
  • SUP 3: $3121.0 - Low May 15 and key support 
  • SUP 4: $3100.0 - Round number support 

A bullish theme in Gold remains intact and the latest pullback is considered corrective - for now. Medium-term trend signals are bullish too - moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Resistance at $3435.6, the May 7 high, has recently been pierced. A clear break of this level would strengthen the uptrend and open $3500.1, the Apr 22 all-time high. Initial key support to monitor is $3287.7, the 50-day EMA.

SCHATZ TECHS: (U5) Monitoring Support

Jun-25 05:50
  • RES 4: 107.690 High Apr 30 
  • RES 3: 107.610 High May 23 and a key near-term resistance
  • RES 2: 107.430/475 High Jun 13 / High May 27
  • RES 1: 107.229 20-day EMA 
  • PRICE: 107.260 @ 06:33 BST Jun 25
  • SUP 1: 107.195/180 Low Jun 6 / 23    
  • SUP 2: 107.125 Low May 12 and a key support
  • SUP 3: 107.000 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 106.890 2.000 proj of the May 23 - 29 - 30 price swing

Schatz futures remain in consolidation mode and price is trading below the Jun 13 high. Support to watch lies at 107.195, the Jun 6 low. It has been pierced, a clear break of this level would reinstate a bearish threat and signal scope for an extension towards 107.125, the May 12 low. On the upside, clearance of 107.470, the May 30 high, is required to strengthen a bullish condition. First key resistance is 107.430, the Jun 13 high.

WTI TECHS: (Q5) Pierces Support At The 50-Day EMA

Jun-25 05:46
  • RES 4: $82.62 - 3.000 proj of the Apr 9 - 23 - May 5 price swing
  • RES 3: $80.43 - 2.764 proj of the Apr 9 - 23 - May 5 price swing 
  • RES 2: $80.00 - Psychological round number
  • RES 1: $71.20/78.40 - 50.0% of the Jun 23-24 range / High Jun 23  
  • PRICE: $66.60 @ 06:06 BST Jun 24 
  • SUP 1: $64.50/00 - 50-day EMA / Low Jun 24 
  • SUP 2: $58.87 - Low May 30
  • SUP 3: $54.81 - Low May 5
  • SUP 4: $54.13 - Low Apr 9 and a key support  

WTI futures maintain a softer tone following the reversal from Monday’s high. Support to watch is at the 50-day EMA, at $64.50. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would signal scope for a deeper retracement. This would expose $58.87, the May 30 low. On the upside, initial resistance to watch is $71.20, the 50.0% retracement of the Jun 23 - 24 high-low range. Key resistance is at $78.40, the Jun 23 high.