AMERICAS OIL: EAST CANADA TRACKER: Oil Exports Rise to Highest Since May - bbg

Sep-30 19:44

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EAST CANADA TRACKER: Oil Exports Rise to Highest Since May - bbg * Oil exports by tanker from Easte...

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EURGBP TECHS: Bear Threat Remains Present

Aug-31 19:35
  • RES 4: 0.8769 High Jul 28 and the bull trigger   
  • RES 3: 0.8744 High Aug 7 
  • RES 2: 0.8682 High Aug 8  
  • RES 1: 0.8674 High Aug 25 and a key near-term resistance 
  • PRICE: 0.8660 @ 19:54 BST Aug 29
  • SUP 1: 0.8597 Low Aug 14 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 2: 0.8562 50.0% retracement May 29 - Jul 28 upleg 
  • SUP 3: 0.8540 Low Jun 30 
  • SUP 4: 0.8514 61.8% retracement May 29 - Jul 28 upleg

EURGBP continues to trade below its most recent highs. A bear threat remains present and attention is on support at 0.8597, the Aug 14 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend that started Jul 28 and highlight potential for a deeper retracement. This would open 0.8562, a Fibonacci retracement. For bulls, resistance to watch is 0.8674, the Aug 25 high. A breach would instead signal a stronger reversal.

GBPUSD TECHS: Bullish Outlook

Aug-31 19:20
  • RES 4: 1.3753 High High Jul 2   
  • RES 3: 1.3681 High Jul 4 
  • RES 2: 1.3636 76.4% retracement of the Jul 1 - Aug1 downleg
  • RES 1: 1.3544/3595 High Aug 22 / 14
  • PRICE: 1.3507 @ 19:50 BST Aug 29
  • SUP 1: 1.3391 Low Aug 22 and the bear trigger  
  • SUP 2: 1.3315 61.8% retracement of the Aug 1 - 14 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 1.3249 76.4% retracement of the Aug 1 - 14 bull leg 
  • SUP 4: 1.3142 Low Aug 1 and a key support      

The outlook in GBPUSD remains bullish and the pair is trading above support. The Aug 22 price pattern - a bullish engulfing candle - signals the end of a recent corrective phase. An extension higher would open the short-term bull trigger at 1.3595, the Aug 14 high. Clearance of this level would signal scope for a climb towards 1.3636, 76.4% of the bear leg between Jul 1 and Aug 1. Key short-term support is 1.3391, the Aug 22 low.

EURUSD TECHS: Primary Trend Condition Remains Bullish

Aug-31 19:14
  • RES 4: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021
  • RES 3: 1.1829 High Jul 01 and the bull trigger 
  • RES 2: 1.1789 High Jul 24 
  • RES 1: 1.1743 High Aug 22
  • PRICE: 1.1695 @ 19:40 BST Aug 29
  • SUP 1: 1.1574/1.1528 Low Aug 27 / Low Aug 5 
  • SUP 2: 1.1392 Low Aug 1 and bear trigger 
  • SUP 3: 1.1373 Low Jun 10 
  • SUP 4: 1.1313 Low May 30 

EURUSD is in consolidation mode. The trend set-up is bullish and short-term pullbacks are considered corrective. Note that the pair has pierced key support around the 50-day EMA, currently at 1.1604. A clear break of the average would signal scope for a deeper retracement and potentially expose key M/T support at 1.1392, the Aug 1 low. Key resistance and the bull trigger is at 1.1829, the Jul 1 high. A break would resume the primary uptrend.