US TSYS: Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Projected Cuts Cooling

Sep-19 12:04

SOFR & Treasury option flow looked mixed overnight: Treasury calls and SOFR puts on modest volumes. Underlying futures extending lows ahead the NY open, TYZ5 back to September 4 levels. Projected rate cut pricing recedes slightly from late Thursday levels (*): Oct'25 at -22.9bp (-23.1bp), Dec'25 at -44.4bp (-45bp), Jan'26 at -56bp (-57.2bp), Mar'26 at -69.1bp (-70.9bp).

  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,500 0QZ5 96.68/96.93/97.18 call flys ref 96.99
    • +2,800 2QZ5 96.37/96.50 put spds, 1.5 ref 96.895
    • +3,000 SFRX5 96.12/96.31/96.43 broken put flys, 1.75 vs. 96.31/0.05%
    • +12,500 3QZ5 95.87/96.25 put spds, 2.5 ref 96.70
  • Treasury Options:
    • -1,500 TYX5 114 calls, 16
    • -3,000 wk2 TY 113 calls, 30 ref 112-28/0.46% (exp 10/10)
    • +2,500 TYV 113.25 calls, 9 vs. 112-28.5/0.30%
    • over 4,100 USV5 115 puts, 8 last
    • -5,000 wk3 FV 109.5 puts, 5-4.5
    • 2,200 TYX5 114 calls, 16 ref 112-25
    • 5,000 TUZ5 105.25 calls, ref 104-09.88
    • +1,500 USX5 118/121 call spds, 35 ref 116-11
    • +1,800 TYV5 112 puts, 3 vs. 112-25/0.10%

Historical bullets

STIR: Repo Reference Rates

Aug-20 12:03
  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 4.33% (-0.01), volume: $2.760T
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.31% (-0.02), volume: $1.144T
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TCR): 4.31% (-0.02), volume: $1.118T
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)

US TSY FUTURES: September'25-December'25 Roll Update

Aug-20 11:59

Latest Tsy quarterly futures roll volumes from September'25 to December'25 below. Pace is rising slowly ahead the "First Notice" date on August 29. Current roll details:

  • TUU5/TUZ5 appr 88,900 from -8.12 to -7.88, -8.0 last; 6% complete
  • FVU5/FVZ5 appr 32,700 from -5.0 to -4.5, -4.75 last; 10% complete
  • TYU5/TYZ5 appr 28,700 from -0.5 to +0.0, -0.25 last; 5% complete
  • UXYU5/UXYZ5 under 6,900 from 0.5 to 1.0, 0.5 last; 3% complete
  • USU5/USZ5 appr 500 from 13.25 to 13.75, 13.25 last; 8% complete
  • WNU5/WNZ5 appr 3,600 from 8.0 to 8.5, 8.25 last; 4% complete
  • Reminder, Sep futures don't expire until next month: 10s, 30s and Ultras on September 22, 2s and 5s on September 30. Meanwhile, Sep'25 Tsy options will expire this Friday, August 22.

EGB SYNDICATION: Finland New 7-year Apr-32 RFGB: Allocations

Aug-20 11:56
  • HR: 110% vs 0% Feb-32 Bund
  • Spread set earlier at MS + 29bp (guidance was MS + 31bps area)
  • Size: E4bln (MNI expected E3bln but noted upsizing to E4bln was possible)
  • Books in excess of E33bln (inc E2.25bln JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 15 April 2032
  • Coupon: Short first
  • Settlement: 28 August 2025 (T+6)
  • ISIN: FI4000591862
  • Bookrunners: Barclays (DM/B&D) / Bofa Securities / Danske Bank / Deutsche Bank / J.P. Morgan
  • Timing: Hedge deadline is 13:00 UKT / 14:00 CET
From market source / MNI colour