SOFR & Treasury option flow looked mixed overnight: Treasury calls and SOFR puts on modest volumes. Underlying futures extending lows ahead the NY open, TYZ5 back to September 4 levels. Projected rate cut pricing recedes slightly from late Thursday levels (*): Oct'25 at -22.9bp (-23.1bp), Dec'25 at -44.4bp (-45bp), Jan'26 at -56bp (-57.2bp), Mar'26 at -69.1bp (-70.9bp).
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Latest Tsy quarterly futures roll volumes from September'25 to December'25 below. Pace is rising slowly ahead the "First Notice" date on August 29. Current roll details: