US TSYS: Early Eurodollar/SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

Oct-20 13:55

Mixed low delta trade so far, puts ongoing while upside calls looking for a bounce in the underlying, particularly Dec expirys as futures price in two more 75bps hikes by year end.

  • SOFR Options:
    • +6,000 SFRF3 95.37/95.62 call spds, 4.75
    • Block, 4,750 SFRX2 95.31/95.43/95.56 put flys, 2.5 after 2x5x3 Block
    • Block, 1,666 x3 short Jun 95.25/95.50 put spds vs. 96.75/97.50 3x4 call spds
    • Block, 1,250 SFRZ2 95.31/95.43/95.56 2x5x3 call flys, 1.0 net/wings over
  • Eurodollar Options:
    • +10,000 EDZ2 97.00 calls, 18.0 vs. 95.07/0.12%
    • +4,000 EDU4 98.00/99.00 1x2 call spds, 2.5
    • +8,000 EDZ2 94.50 puts, 1.75 ref 94.84/0.08%
  • Treasury Options:
    • Block, 7,500 TYH3 110 puts, 227 ref 110-05.5
    • Block, 5,000 TYZ2 106/108 put spds, 26 ref 109-28.5, more on screen

Historical bullets

CANADA: Lowest Can-US 2Y Yield Differential Since 2019

Sep-20 13:55
  • 2Y GoCs have limited the post-CPI rally to ~8bps from almost 12bps initially to leave them -4bp on yesterday’s close.
  • With 2Y Tsyss +4.1bps, it drives a significant 8bp widening in the Can-US yield differential to -22bps, the most negative since Aug’19 from +15-20bps a month ago and -5bps after last week's US CPI sizeable beat.
  • In doing so it further removes a supporting factor for CAD, evidenced by the recent break higher in USDCAD.



Can-US yield differential for 2Y (white) and 10Y (yellow) yieldsSource: Bloomberg

EGB OPTIONS: Bund risk reversal

Sep-20 13:46

RXX2 138/144 RR, bought the put for 9.5 in 3k

BONDS: Extending their fall

Sep-20 13:43
  • Govies continue to plummet, another close to 200 ticks range for Bund, 152 ticks for Gilt, 203 ticks for OATs.
  • Next support for Gilt is 103.31 Low Jun 2008
  • Bund eye 140.31 = 1.970% (2014 peak)