EQUITIES: E-Mini S&P Trading Back at Last Week's Highs
A bull cycle in the Eurostoxx 50 futures contract remains intact and the move down from the Jan 24 high, appears to have been a correction. A deeper retracement would allow an overbought trend condition to unwind. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode set-up highlighting a dominant uptrend. The first important support to watch is 5121.39, the 20-day EMA. A resumption of the uptrend would open 5298.50, a Fibonacci projection. The S&P E-Minis contract is trading above Monday’s low. Key short-term support to watch lies at 5961.75, the Jan 16 low (pierced). For now, the recent sharp pullback appears corrective, however, a clear breach of 5961.75 would strengthen a bearish threat and signal scope for a deeper retracement, towards 5943.94, a Fibonacci retracement. Key resistance is 6178.75, the Dec 6 high.
- Japan's NIKKEI closed higher by 99.19 pts or +0.25% at 39513.97 and the TOPIX ended 6.34 pts higher or +0.23% at 2781.93.
- Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades higher by 51.49 pts or +0.24% at 21694.7, FTSE 100 higher by 15.04 pts or +0.18% at 8572.52, CAC 40 up 33.5 pts or +0.43% at 7908.1 and Euro Stoxx 50 up 27.84 pts or +0.53% at 5260.41.
- Dow Jones mini up 159 pts or +0.35% at 45059, S&P 500 mini up 23.75 pts or +0.39% at 6093, NASDAQ mini up 125 pts or +0.58% at 21653.
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COMMODITIES: WTI Futures Holding Higher
WTI futures are trading higher today as the contract extends recent gains. A stronger reversal to the upside would refocus attention on key short-term resistance at $76.41, the Oct 8 high. Initial firm resistance is unchanged at $71.97. A bear threat in Gold remains present. The yellow metal traded sharply lower on Dec 18 and the move undermines a recent bull theme. A resumption of weakness would open key support at $2536.9, the Nov 14 low.
- WTI Crude up $0.4 or +0.56% at $71.41
- Natural Gas down $0.14 or -3.51% at $3.799
- Gold spot up $8.09 or +0.31% at $2614.49
- Copper down $3.3 or -0.81% at $405.95
- Silver up $0.01 or +0.05% at $28.961
- Platinum up $8.16 or +0.9% at $912.55
EQUITIES: Bear Threat in E-mini S&P Remains Present
A bear threat in the S&P E-Minis contract remains present and the latest move down highlights the end of the recent Dec 20 - 26 corrective bounce. An extension lower would expose 5866.00, the Dec 20 low and a key short-term support. A bull cycle in the Eurostoxx 50 futures contract remains intact, however, the recent move down highlights a corrective phase. Despite the latest bounce, a short-term bear threat remains present - for now.
- In China the SHANGHAI closed lower by 55.563 pts or -1.63% at 3351.763 and the HANG SENG ended 18.53 pts higher or +0.09% at 20059.95.
- Dow Jones mini up 56 pts or +0.13% at 42977, S&P 500 mini up 17.75 pts or +0.3% at 5976.25, NASDAQ mini up 87.75 pts or +0.41% at 21503.25.
CHINA: CFETS RMB Basket Tweak Drops USD, EUR, JPY Weighting, Adds MOP
China adjust the currency weightings as part of the CFETS RMB Index: Full basket of currencies now composed of 25 currencies, having included the Macau Pataca (MOP) for 2025:
- USD weighting dropped to 18.903% from 19.460%
- EUR weighting dropped to 17.902% from 18.080%
- JPY weighting dropped to 8.584% from 8.963%
Full list found here: https://iftp.chinamoney.com.cn/chinese/zxpl/20241231/3028340.html
