EQUITIES: E-Mini S&P Narrows Gap to Key Medium-Term Support at 6583.00

Mar-13 09:16

The sharp rebound in EuroStoxx 50 futures from Monday’s low is for now, considered corrective and this is allowing an extreme oversold trend condition to unwind. Key short-term resistance to watch is 5919.41, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to signal a possible reversal. A resumption of the bear leg would open 5500.00, the Nov 21 ‘25 low. A clear breach of it would strengthen the bear cycle. A sharp bounce in S&P E-Minis on Monday and the reversal from Tuesday’s high highlights the fact that recent gains were most likely corrective. This has allowed a recent oversold trend condition to unwind. A continuation lower would open 6583.00, the Nov 21 ‘25 low and the next key medium-term support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish threat. Initial firm resistance is 6878.09, the 50-day EMA.

  • Japan's NIKKEI closed lower by 633.35 pts or -1.16% at 53819.61 and the TOPIX ended 20.82 pts lower or -0.57% at 3629.03.
  • Elsewhere, in China the SHANGHAI closed lower by 33.655 pts or -0.82% at 4095.448 and the HANG SENG ended 251.16 pts lower or -0.98% at 25465.6.
  • Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades lower by 162.51 pts or -0.69% at 23422.6, FTSE 100 lower by 50.07 pts or -0.49% at 10254.63, CAC 40 down 63.68 pts or -0.8% at 7919.56 and Euro Stoxx 50 down 35.16 pts or -0.61% at 5713.68.
  • Dow Jones mini down 14 pts or -0.03% at 46709, S&P 500 mini down 1.75 pts or -0.03% at 6675.75, NASDAQ mini down 17 pts or -0.07% at 24545.

Historical bullets

FOREX: FX OPTION EXPIRY - Large Expiry in the EUR Friday

Feb-11 09:12

Of note:

EURUSD ~1bn at 1.1900.

USDJPY 1.67bn at 154.00 (thu).

USDCNY 1.1bn at 6.9000 (thu).

EURUSD 11.18bn between 1.1850/1.1955 (fri).

USDCNY 1.2bn at 6.9000 (fri).

  • EURUSD: 1.1825 (1.52bn), 1.1850 (792mln), 1.1870 (451mln), 1.1900 (934mln), 1.1950 (371mln), 1.2000 (2.17bn).
  • GBPUSD: 1.3640 (362mln).
  • USDCAD: 1.3500 (282mln), 1.3540 (300mln).
  • USDCNY: 6.9000 (500mln), 6.9200 (678mln).

EGB SYNDICATION: France 30-year May-57 OAT: Spread Set

Feb-11 09:07
  • Size: E8bln (MNI expected E8bln) of the new 30-year May-57 OAT
  • Spread: 3.75% May-56 OAT (ISIN: FR001400XJJ3) +4 (Guidance was 3.75% May-56 OAT +6 Area)
  • Books in excess of E103bln (including JLM interest)
  • Coupon: Annual, act/act
  • Settlement: Feb. 18, 2026 (t+5)
  • ISIN: FR0014016CV2
  • Bookrunners: BNPP, CA-CIB, JPM (B&D), MS, SocGen
  • Timing: May price today.

Details per Bloomberg / with MNI colour

SOFR: SFRH6/U6 Lifted

Feb-11 09:04

SFRH6/U6 paper paid -41.5 on 2K.