The sharp rebound in EuroStoxx 50 futures from Monday’s low is for now, considered corrective and this is allowing an extreme oversold trend condition to unwind. Key short-term resistance to watch is 5919.41, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to signal a possible reversal. A resumption of the bear leg would open 5500.00, the Nov 21 ‘25 low. A clear breach of it would strengthen the bear cycle. A sharp bounce in S&P E-Minis on Monday and the reversal from Tuesday’s high highlights the fact that recent gains were most likely corrective. This has allowed a recent oversold trend condition to unwind. A continuation lower would open 6583.00, the Nov 21 ‘25 low and the next key medium-term support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish threat. Initial firm resistance is 6878.09, the 50-day EMA.
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Of note:
EURUSD ~1bn at 1.1900.
USDJPY 1.67bn at 154.00 (thu).
USDCNY 1.1bn at 6.9000 (thu).
EURUSD 11.18bn between 1.1850/1.1955 (fri).
USDCNY 1.2bn at 6.9000 (fri).
Details per Bloomberg / with MNI colour
SFRH6/U6 paper paid -41.5 on 2K.