EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (M5) Bull Cycle Intact

May-21 13:36
  • RES 4: 6080.75 High Feb 26    
  • RES 3: 6057.00 High Mar 3  
  • RES 2: 6000.00 Round number resistance      
  • RES 1: 5993.50 High May 20                                     
  • PRICE: 5912.25 @ 15:35 BST May 21 
  • SUP 1: 5837.25/5703.54 High Mar 25 / 50-day EMA                        
  • SUP 2: 5455.50 Low Apr 30 
  • SUP 3: 5355.25 Low Apr 24
  • SUP 4: 5127.25 Low Apr 21 and a key support 

A bullish trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains intact and the latest pullback is considered corrective. An important resistance at 5837.25, the Mar 25 high and a bull trigger, has recently been cleared. This has strengthened the current bullish theme, and paves the way for a continuation near-term. Sights are on the 6000.00 handle next. Initial firm support to watch lies at 5703.54, the 50-day EMA.

Historical bullets

FED: Chicago's Goolsbee: Central Bank Independence Key To Anchor L-R Infl Exp

Apr-21 13:01

CNBC anchors trying to pin down Chicago Fed President Goolsbee (2025 voter, dove) on the impact of President Trump potentially replacing Fed Chair Powell - Goolsbee won't be drawn into the speculation but he is emphatic that central bank independence is crucial to keeping longer-run inflation expectations down.

  • Goolsbee says without central bank independence, you get "higher inflation, worse growth, higher unemployment." And he cites Paul Volcker's example of tightening policy to quell inflation, saying "sometimes the Fed has to do the hard job".
  • That said, asked if he still sees rates being lower 12 - 18 months from now: "I still think that", identifying the March Dot Plot as a guide to the overall direction of rates.

US TSY OPTIONS: Jun'25 10Y Ratio Put Spread

Apr-21 12:35
  • 11,179 TYM5 108/111 2x1 put spds, 32 ref 110-25.5

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Large Jun'25 2Y Buy

Apr-21 12:31
  • +20,000 TUM5 103-26.5, buy through 103-26 post time offer at 0815:05ET, DV01 $736,000. The 2Y contract trades 103-26.5 last (+1.12).