EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (H6) Short-Term Weakness Appears Corrective

Dec-31 07:32

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* RES 4: 7080.92 0.764 proj Nov 21 - Dec 11 - 18 price swing * RES 3: 7021.79 0.618 proj Nov 21 - De...

Historical bullets

WTI TECHS: (F6) Bear Theme Intact

Dec-01 07:30
  • RES 4: $71.38 - High Jun 23 and a key medium-term resistance 
  • RES 3: $67.16 - High Jul 30
  • RES 2: $65.33 - High Sep 26 and key resistance 
  • RES 1: $61.84 - High Oct 24    
  • PRICE: $59.73 @ 07:10 GMT Dec 1 
  • SUP 1: $55.99 - Low Oct 20 and bear trigger
  • SUP 2: $55.33 - Low May 1
  • SUP 3: $54.72 - Low Apr 9 and a key support
  • SUP 4: $53.53 - 1.764 proj of the Jul 30 - Aug 13 - Sep 26 price swing   

Recent weakness in WTI futures highlights a bearish theme. A resumption of the bear leg would open the key support and the bear trigger at $55.99, the Oct 20 low. Clearance of this level would resume the downtrend. Note that it is still possible a bullish corrective cycle remains in play. The contract has recovered from its latest low, resistance to watch is $61.84, the Oct 24 high. A clear break of this hurdle would signal scope for a stronger correction.

MNI: SWISS OCT RETAIL SALES +0.7% M/M, +2.7% Y/Y (VS +0.5% M/M, +1.8% Y/Y SEP)

Dec-01 07:30
  • MNI: SWISS OCT RETAIL SALES +0.7% M/M, +2.7% Y/Y (VS +0.5% M/M, +1.8% Y/Y SEP)

GOLD TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Dec-01 07:24
  • RES 4: $4404.9 - 3.500 proj of the May 15 - Jun 16 - 30 price swing
  • RES 3: $4400.0 - Round number resistance  
  • RES 2: $4381.5 - High Oct 20 and bull trigger
  • RES 1: $4264.7 - 76.4% retracement of the Oct 20 - 28 correction                   
  • PRICE: $4236.7 @ 07:23 GMT Dec 1 
  • SUP 1: $3991.7 - 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 2: $3886.6 - Low Oct 28 and a reversal trigger
  • SUP 3: $3800.00 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: $3760.9 - Low Sep 29 

The trend condition in Gold remains bullish and the bear phase between Oct 20 and 28 appears to have been a correction. Note that the recovery since Oct 28 signals the end of the corrective cycle. Key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA, at $3991.7. Clearance of this EMA would signal scope for a deeper retracement. Sights are on key resistance and the bull trigger at $4381.5, the Oct 20 high.