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Schatz futures traded higher Monday, extending the recovery that started on Jul 11. Trend indicators continue to highlight a bear cycle and if correct, this suggests that short-term gains are corrective. Resistance to watch is 107.365, the Jun 7 high. A break would strengthen a bull theme. On the downside, a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on 107.120, the Jul 11 low and bear trigger.
BUY 4180 of TUU5 traded at 103-23 1/8, post-time 15:10:48 AEST (DV01 $156,378). The contract is currently trading at 103-22 3/4, -0-00 1/4+ from closing levels.
GBPUSD continues to trade above its recent lows. For now, short-term gains appear corrective and a bear threat remains present. Recent weakness resulted in a break of trendline support currently at 1.3480 - drawn from the Jan 13 low. The breach strengthens a bear theme, exposing 1.3335 next, the May 20 low. Initial firm resistance to watch is 1.3517, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to highlight a potential base.