SOUTH KOREA: Country Wrap: Further Housing Restrictions to Come

Aug-22 05:31
  • The government said Thursday it will impose restrictions on housing purchases by foreigners in Seoul, Incheon and major parts of Gyeonggi Province in an effort to block speculative demand fueled by overseas capital inflows.  The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport said the measure to place foreign home buyers subject to the Real Estate Transaction Reporting Act was approved at a meeting of the Central Urban Planning Committee earlier in the day.   (source Yonhap)
  • The Bank of Korea is expected to maintain its accommodative stance, despite tailwinds from the U.S.-South Korean deal to lower President Trump's blanket tariff and signs of a recovery in consumption, Nomura economists led by Jeong Woo Park write in a note. The central bank is likely to remain cautious about South Korea's recovery path because tariffs could still adversely affect exports later, they say. Nomura expects the bank to revise up its 2025 and 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 0.9% and 1.8%, respectively, from 0.8% and 1.6% previously. The BOK is likely to hold the policy rate next week before possibly cutting it in October, Nomura says.  (source BBG)
  • The KOSPI is up today by +0.86% and has made a minor recovery from losses earlier in the week.  However it remains lower and is set to lose ground by around -1.7% for the week.
  • The Won is the best of the regional performers today, as most lost ground.  With gains of +0.45% it marks a modest turnaround from earlier in the week yet remains down by -0.30% in the last five trading days.  
  • Korea's 10-year Govt Bond is +6bps higher in yield this week following one of the largest 10-year government bond auctions of the year at the beginning of the week.

Historical bullets

BOBL TECHS: (U5) Key Near-Term Resistance Remains Exposed

Jul-23 05:25
  • RES 4: 118.390 High Jun 13 and a key resistance  
  • RES 3: 118.109 76.4% retracement of the Jun 13 - Jul 11 bear leg  
  • RES 2: 118.060 High Jun 20 and a key near-term resistance  
  • RES 1: 118.030 High Jul 22      
  • PRICE: 117.890 @ 06:09 BST Jul 23 
  • SUP 1: 117.667 20-day EMA 
  • SUP 2: 117.450 Low Jul 18 
  • SUP 3: 117.200 Low Jul 11 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 4: 117.000 Round number support       

Bobl futures traded higher again, on Tuesday and the contract maintains a firmer short-term tone. Sights are on a key near-term resistance at 118.060, the Jun 20 high. A break of this hurdle would strengthen a bullish theme  and signal scope for an extension towards 118.390, the Jun 13 high. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at 117.200, the Jul 11 low. Initial firm support is seen at 117.450, the Jul 18 low.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-23 05:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
24-Jul0930JulS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jul1100JulCBI Industrial Trends
25-Jul0001JulGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
25-Jul0700JunRetail Sales
28-Jul1100JulCBI Distributive Trades
29-Jul0001JulBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
29-Jul0930JunBOE Lending to Individuals / M4
01-Aug0930JulS&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI
05-Aug0930JulS&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Services PMI
06-Aug0930JulS&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
07-Aug1200---Bank Of England Interest Rate
07-Aug1230---BOE Press Conference
07-Aug1400JulDecision Maker Panel data
12-Aug0001JulBRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
12-Aug0700Jun/JulLabour Market Survey
14-Aug0700Q2 / JunGDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-23 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
23-Jul1500EUConsumer Confidence Indicator (p)
24-Jul0700DEGFK Consumer Climate
24-Jul0745FRManufacturing Sentiment
24-Jul0800ESPPI
24-Jul0815FRS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jul0830DES&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jul0900EUS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jul1315EUECB Decision
24-Jul1345EUECB Press Conference
25-Jul0745FRConsumer Sentiment
25-Jul0900EUM3
25-Jul0900ITISTAT Consumer Confidence
25-Jul0900ITISTAT Business Confidence
25-Jul0900DEIFO Business Climate Index
25-Jul1400BEBNB Business Confidence
29-Jul0800ESGDP (p)
29-Jul0900EUECB Consumer Expectations Survey