CHINA: Country Wrap: Electricity Consumption Records Steady Growth
Market Summary: The Hang Seng is troubled by a T10, yet it up +0.91% whilst CSI 300 rose +0.71%, Shanghai Comp +0.63% and Shenzhen up +0.97%. The Yuan Reference Rate at 7.1077 Per USD; Estimate 7.1107 whilst bonds were steady with the CGB 10-Yr at 1.80%
- China's electricity consumption, a key barometer of economic activity, continued its steady growth in August, according to data from the National Energy Administration on Tuesday. The country's total power use increased 5 percent year on year to nearly 1.02 trillion kilowatt-hours last month, according to the data. (source Xinhua)
- Intelligent and high-end manufacturing is taking the spotlight in China, with innovations ranging from new energy vehicles and smart robots to advanced photovoltaics and energy storage equipment. The 2025 World Manufacturing Convention, which is being held from Saturday to Tuesday in Hefei of east China's Anhui Province, is bringing these frontier achievements together for global participants. "Anhui is focusing on a broad swathe of cutting-edge and emerging industries, including smart manufacturing, biomedicine, electric vehicles and renewable energy, which are areas of collaboration that the American business community can be a part of," said Noah Fraser, senior vice president of China operations at the US-China Business Council (USCBC), at a sideline event of the convention. (source Xinhua)
Want to read more?
Find more articles and bullets on these widgets:
Historical bullets
BOBL TECHS: (U5) Bearish Theme
- RES 4: 117.710 High Aug 5 and a key resistance
- RES 3: 117.640 High Aug 7
- RES 2: 117.488 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 117.410 High Aug 21
- PRICE: 117.230 @ 05:59 BST Aug 25
- SUP 1: 116.950 Low Aug 15
- SUP 2: 116.840 1.00 proj of the Jun 13 - Jul 11 - 22 price swing
- SUP 3: 116.800 Low Mar 17 (cont)
- SUP 4: 116.637 76.4% retracement of the Mar 6 - Apr 7 bull leg (cont)
A bearish theme in Bobl futures remains intact. A strong sell-off on Aug 15 highlights the bearish threat and moving average studies are in a bear-mode position. The contract has pierced support at 116.970, the Jul 25 low and a bear trigger. A clear breach of this level would set the scene for an extension towards 116.840, a Fibonacci projection. Key short-term resistance is 117.488, the 50-day EMA.
EURUSD TECHS: Friday’s Rally Reinforces A Bull Theme
- RES 4: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021
- RES 3: 1.1829 High Jul 01 and the bull trigger
- RES 2: 1.1789 High Jul 24
- RES 1: 1.1743 High Aug 22
- PRICE: 1.1703 @ 06:10 BST Aug 25
- SUP 1: 1.1596/1.1528 50-day EMA / Low Aug 5
- SUP 2: 1.1392 Low Aug 1 and bear trigger
- SUP 3: 1.1373 Low Jun 10
- SUP 4: 1.1313 Low May 30
The trend set-up in EURUSD remains bullish and Friday’s rally reinforces current conditions. Support at the 50-day remains intact, at 1.1596. A clear break of it would signal scope for a deeper retracement and potentially expose key support at 1.1392, the Aug 1 low. For bulls, a stronger resumption of gains would open key resistance and the bull trigger at 1.1829, the Jul 1 high.
JGBS: Slightly Richer, Gov. Ueda's Wage Comments In Focus
JGB futures are little changed, -1 compared to settlement levels, after giving up Friday's overnight gains.
- (Bloomberg) Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said he expects a tight labour market to keep upward pressure on wages, reflecting his view that stable inflation is set to take hold.
- "Wage growth is spreading from large enterprises to small and medium enterprises," Ueda said Saturday in remarks at the Federal Reserve's annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. "Barring a major negative demand shock, the labour market is expected to remain tight and continue to exert upward pressure on wages."
- Joseph Wang on X: "Good speech by Ueda on how Japan's ageing demographics are driving up wages. Increasing participation rates and retiring at a later age have reached their limits. It looks like the theory that ageing demographics is inflationary will be validated. https://t.co/YyW7JcMySw"
- Cash US tsys are ~2bps cheaper in today's Asia-Pac session after Friday's strong rally.
- Cash JGBs are flat to 1bp richer across benchmarks. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.8bp lower at 1.617% versus the cycle high of 1.627%, set last week.
- Swap rates are ~2bps higher. Swap spreads are wider.
- Tomorrow, the local calendar will see PPI Services alongside an Auction for Enhanced-Liquidity 15.5-39 YR.
