EURUSD TECHS: Corrective Cycle

Aug-01 17:00

* RES 4: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021 * RES 3: 1.1829 High Jul 01 and the bull trigger * RES 2: 1.1789 Hi...

Historical bullets

EURUSD TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Jul-02 17:00
  • RES 4: 1.1923 2.000 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - 27 price swing
  • RES 3: 1.1868 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 2: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021 
  • RES 1: 1.1829 High Jul 01
  • PRICE: 1.1768 @ 16:07 BST Jul 2
  • SUP 1: 1.1631 High Jun 12 and a recent breakout level
  • SUP 2: 1.1578 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.1446 Low Jun 19  
  • SUP 4: 1.1405 50-day EMA

The trend needle in EURUSD continues to point north and the pair is holding on to its latest gains. The breach last week of 1.1631, the Jun 12 high and a bull trigger, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend. The 1.1800 handle has been pierced, sights are on 1.1851, the Sep 10 2021 high. Key short-term support to watch lies at 1.1578, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to signal scope for a deeper retracement.       

OPTIONS: UK Rate Selloff Meets With Upside Plays

Jul-02 16:52

Wednesday's Europe rates/bond options flow included:

  • ERQ5 98.125/98.25cs 1x2, bought the 1 for 2 in 5k
  • ERQ5 98.125/98.1875/98.25c ladder, bought for 1.25 in 4k
  • SFIZ5 96.40/96.50cs, bought for 3.5 in 8k
  • SFIZ5 96.60c, bought for 5.5 in 7.5k
  • SFIZ5 96.50/96.75/97.00c fly, bought for 3 in 6k

US TSYS: Midday Update: Extending Lows

Jul-02 16:13
  • Treasuries are extending midday lows currently, no obvious headline driver, more flow driven amid robust volumes (TYU5 over 1.2M).
  • The Sep'25 10Y contract trades -10 at 111-17.5, session and 1W lows at the moment. First key support to watch is 111.07.5, the 20-day EMA.
  • Curves remain steeper but off highs: 2s10s +4.251 at 50.964 (52.814H), 5s30s +3.403 at 96.167 (98.661H).
  • Cross asset: Bbg US$ index off midmorning high: 1190.19 (+0.68), stocks mildly firmer (SPX eminis +15.00 at 6263.75, crude firmer (WTI +1.0 at 66.45), Gold firmer at 3345.58.