WTI futures maintain a softer tone. The contract traded sharply lower Tuesday, resulting in a break of key support at $70.88, the Aug 5 low. The clear break of this level confirms a resumption of the downtrend that started Apr 12 and paves the way for an extension towards $68.92, the Dec 13 ‘23 low. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a clear downtrend. Initial resistance is at $74.65, the 20-day EMA. The trend in Gold remains bullish and the recent sideways move marks a pause in the uptrend. MA studies are in a bull-mode set-up and this highlights a dominant uptrend. The recent breach of $2483.7, Jul 17 high, confirmed a resumption of the primary uptrend and the focus is on $2536.4 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial support to watch lies at $2483.6, the 20-day EMA. It has been pierced, a move lower would be considered corrective.
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A bear threat in WTI futures remains present and the contract has traded lower today as it extends the current downtrend. Sights are on the next key support at $72.23, the Jun 4 low. A break of this level would reinforce bearish conditions and pave the way for an extension towards $70.73, the Feb 5 low. On the upside, key resistance is seen at $78.88, the Aug 1 high. Short-term gains would allow an oversold condition to unwind. Gold has traded higher this week. The recent move down appears to have been a correction. The yellow metal did manage to pierce support at the 50-day EMA - at $2370.3. A clear break of this average would signal scope for a deeper retracement towards $2277.4, the May 3 low and a key support. For bulls, this week’s gains are constructive. Sights are on $2483.7, the Jul 17 high, and a bull trigger. Clearance of this hurdle resumes the uptrend.
A bear threat in Eurostoxx 50 futures remains present and the contract is trading lower today as it starts the week on a bearish note. Last week’s sell-off resulted in a break of 4846.00, the Apr 19 low. The breach highlights a stronger reversal and signals scope for an extension towards 4543.00 next, a Fibonacci projection. Firm resistance is 4940.25, the 50-day EMA. First resistance is 4656.00, today’s intraday high. S&P E-Minis traded lower late last week and the contract is starting this week’s session on a bearish note as the current sell-off extends. The move lower paves the way for a test of 5185.50, a Fibonacci retracement. Clearance of this level would signal scope for an extension towards 5092.00, the May 2 low. Today’s intraday high of 5345.50 marks initial resistance. The 50-day EMA, a firmer level, is at 5494.20.
Short BTP (2yr) Basis trade, suggest cash seller.