ASIA: Coming Up in Asia Today
May-22 22:24
| 1600GMT | 0500HKT | 0700AEDT | South Korea PPI YoY APR |
| 0000GMT | 1300HKT | 1500AEDT | Singapore CPI YoY APR |
| 0000GMT | 1300HKT | 1500AEDT | Singapore CPI NSA MoM APR |
| 0000GMT | 1300HKT | 1500AEDT | Singapore CPI Core YoY APR |
| 0230GMT | 1530HKT | 1730AEDT | Thailand Gross International Reserves |
| 0300GMT | 1530HKT | 1730AEDT | Thailand Forward Contracts |
| 0330GMT | 1600HKT | 1800AEDT | Taiwan Industrial Production YoY |
| 0000GMT | 1620HKT | 1820AEDT | Taiwan Money Supply M1B Daily Avg YoY |
| 0330GMT | 1620HKT | 1820AEDT | Taiwan Money Supply M2 Daily Avg YoY |
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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS: (M5) Remains Toward Top End of Recent Range
Apr-22 22:15
- RES 3: 96.501 - 76.4% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
- RES 2: 96.207 - 61.8% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
- RES 1: 95.960 - High Apr 7
- PRICE: 95.755 @ 16:08 GMT Apr 22
- SUP 1: 95.420/95.300 - Low Feb 13 / Low Jan 14
- SUP 2: 95.275 - Low Nov 14 (cont) and a key support
- SUP 3: 94.640 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope
Aussie 10-yr futures extended a recent strong bounce through to the Friday close, putting prices through the top end of the recent range. The confirmed breach of 95.851, the Dec 11 high on the continuation contract, reinstates a bull cycle and focuses attention on resistance at 96.207, a Fibonacci retracement point. A stronger bearish theme would expose 95.275, the Nov 14 low and a key support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish condition.
US TSYS: Yields Unwind Some Of Monday Moves
Apr-22 22:11
TYM5 reopens at 110-22, down -0-03 from closing levels in today’s Asia-Pac session.
- Overnight US 10-year yields had a range of 4.3695% - 4.4341%, closing around 4.40%.
- Treasury yields finished mixed Tuesday, curves unwinding a large portion of Monday's steepening with bonds outperforming the short end(2s10s - 6.24 at 57.965).
- (Bloomberg) -- “Treasury’s $69 billion auction of two-year notes was awarded at 3.795%, lowest result since September, vs 3.789% when-issued yield at the bidding deadline of 1 p.m. New York time, despite cheapening by about 5bp into the sale.”
- Treasury Secretary Bessent Tuesday privately told investors the tariff standoff is unsustainable and he expects de-escalation with China.
- 10-year Yields, having bounced off their support around the 4.25 area, are consolidating and the range looks to be 4.25/4.50% for now.
CROSS ASSET: USD/JPY Bid Post Trump Remarks On No Intention To Fire Powell
Apr-22 21:56
FX markets are reacting early to Trump remarks made in the oval office a short while ago.
- USD/JPY is up around 0.60%, last near 142.40/45, while EUR/USD is down around 0.40%, last close to 1.1375. AUD/USD is the only G10 currency marginally higher versus the USD, up 0.10% to 0.6370/75. The ETF for the S&P500 is up 2% in post market trade (per BBG).
- These moves come after US President Trump stated that he had no intention of firing Fed Chair Powell (which has been a cause of concern recently and around the outlook for Fed Independence). Such fears were a further weight on broader US asset related sentiment.
- Trump also stated that the final tariff number for China wouldn't be near the current 145%. He also expressed optimism around trade deals with lots of countries and spoke of the large investment agreements reached for flows into the US.
- USD/CNH is lower, off around 0.15% to the low 7.3000 region.
