ASIA: Coming Up In Asia Pac Markets On Friday

May-15 21:09
2330BST0630HKT0830AESTNew Zealand Apr PMI 
0050BST0750HKT0950AESTJapan Q1 GDP
0200BST0900HKT1100AESTAustralia 2030 Bond Sale
0400BST1100HKT1300AESTNew Zealand Apr Non-Resident Bond Holdings
0400BST1100HKT1300AESTNew Zealand Q2 Inflation Expectations
0500BST1200HKT1400AESTBoJ's Nakamura Speech
0530BST1230HKT1430AESTJapan Mar F Industrial Production

Historical bullets

ASIA: Coming Up In Asia Pac Markets On Wednesday

Apr-15 21:07
0010BST0710HKT0910AESTFed's Cook Speaks At Alumni Event
0050BST0750HKT0950AESTJapan Feb Core Machine Orders
0130BST0830HKT1030AESTAustralia Westpac Leading Index
0200BST0900HKT1100AESTAustralia 2034 Bond Sale
0210BST0910HKT1110AESTBOJ Outright Bond Purchases
0230BST0930HKT1130AESTChina Mar Home Prices
0300BST1000HKT1200AESTChina Q1 GDP
0300BST1000HKT1200AESTChina Mar IP, Retail Sales
0300BST1000HKT1200AESTChina FAI, Property Investment
0400BST1100HKT1300AESTNew Zealand Mar Non-resident Bond holdings

US FISCAL: Tax Receipts Picking Up, But Lagging Behind Prior Years (1/2)

Apr-15 20:53

As such the tax take so far has arguably been relatively underwhelming: the cumulative corporate + individual tax take (starting from 5 days prior to Tax Deadline day) is $130B, ahead of 2024's $115.5B but below the strong 2022-23 levels (2023 was $137B). 

  • Individual receipts have totaled $107B so far. We haven't seen many estimates for this month's take but Wrightson ICAP is anticipating April's to total $450B, up 6% vs April last year. By comparison, the tax take through this point last year was just $94B, so there is some improvement on this front.
  • April 15 of course is the biggest day for collections, with 2024 seeing $154B and 2023 seeing $105B, and payments will continue for several days thereafter so it is tough to get a good picture now.
  • Indeed by tomorrow we should get a good sense of where the Treasury General Account is likely to end up once tax collections are over, with the bulk of the increases already having taken place - see bottom chart.

 

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US FISCAL: Tax Receipts Picking Up, But Lagging Behind Prior Years (1/2)

Apr-15 20:40

 Daily Treasury data show that tax receipts are - as expected - picking up sharply as we go into the biggest tax collection day of the year, April 15. 

  • The release for April 14 showed $48.2B in tax receipts deposited with the Treasury. That was split almost evenlly between the two categories we consider: Corporate Income taxes and non-withheld individual taxes.
  • This is key data for determining whether Treasury's "x-date" is approaching sooner rather than later. The Treasury General Account rose by $85B to an 18-session high $415.7B.
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