EM LATAM CREDIT: Codelco: 2Q 2025 Earnings - Neutral
Aug-22 15:27
(CDEL; Baa2/BBB+/BBB+)
"CODELCO 2Q REV. $4.53B, +4.4% Y/Y
CODELCO 2Q NET INCOME $50.6M
CODELCO CUTS 2025 COPPER PROD TO 1.34M-1.37M TONNES
CODELCO CUTS 2025 CAPEX GUIDANCE TO $4.3B-$5B" - Bbg
Initial headlines now streaming. We will post as more info becomes available.
CDEL 36s were last quoted T+147bp, 13bp tighter QTD and 15bp tighter YTD.
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US STOCKS: Early Equities Roundup: New Highs for SPX Eminis, Tech Stocks Stall
Jul-23 15:21
- Stocks are firmer early Wednesday, SPX eminis just off new all-time highs (6376.75), supported by a mix of Industrials, Health Care and Energy sector shares - risk sentiment buoyed after Pres Trump announced a sweeping trade deal with Japan late Tuesday.
- Currently, the DJIA trades up 185.94 points (0.42%) at 44688.76, S&P E-Minis up 13.75 points (0.22%) at 6360.75, Nasdaq up 18.5 points (0.1%) at 20908.89.
- Leading gainers in the first half buoyed by better than expected earnings: Lamb Weston Holdings +20.40%, GE Vernova +14.31%, Thermo Fisher Scientific +13.17%, Lennox International +9.69%, TE Connectivity +8.94%, Moderna +8.65%, Baker Hughes +7.96%, Vistra +6.85% and General Dynamics +6.31%.
- Technology sector shares primarily led decliners in the first half: Fiserv -17.68%, Enphase Energy -13.48%, Texas Instruments -12.40%, Microchip Technology -7.33%, ON Semiconductor -7.17% and Teledyne Technologies -5.13%. Other laggers outside of Tech included: Otis Worldwide -11.20%, NectEra Energy -4.40%, Albemarle -4.10 and Hasbro -4.04%
- Earnings expected after today's close: T-Mobile US, Mattel, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Molina Healthcare, CSX Corp, O'Reilly Automotive, Tesla, ServiceNow, Crown Castle, United Rentals, Rollins, QuantumScape, Alphabet, Alaska Air, Las Vegas Sands, Viking Therapeutics, IBM, and Valero Energy Corp.
FED: US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $573 MLN FROM $65.000 BLN TOTAL
Jul-23 15:15
- US TSY 17W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $573 MLN FROM $65.000 BLN TOTAL
FOREX: Deutsche Bank Continue to Favour EURCAD Topside
Jul-23 14:46
- Deutsche Bank have noted that while at first glance, there seems to be a lot going right for Canada, a closer look takes a lot of the gloss away. This leaves them with a bearish near-term bias and continuing to favour EUR/CAD topside, which is up ~1.5% since recommending the position in their FX blueprint. They focus on the following fundamentals:
- The recent employment print was certainly strong, but it follows a string of weakness that still leaves Canada’s unemployment 2%pts above the trough – the worst in G10. Separately, both the Ivey PMI and BoC business survey suggest GDP growth could slip to zero.
- The BoC survey finds the uncertainty around tariffs is delaying capex plans and affecting corporate margins since passing on the cost is tough. Tariff uncertainty is also visible in the goods trade balance, which slumped to the largest deficit in decades and in net terms, portfolio flows have worked against CAD.
- The Carney government is indeed planning to spend more on defence and other capex. But it's targeting substantial cuts to operational spending (7.5%+ per year) to fund some of that. The fall budget will contain important detail.
- Overall, DB believe this points in the direction of further BoC easing and it's notable how little is priced (less than 25bps to the trough).
