CHINA PRESS: China U.S. Agree To Promote Truce Extension
Beijing and Washington have agreed to promote the suspension of U.S. reciprocal tariffs and China's countermeasures for an additional 90 days, the Ministry of Commerce has announced, following both sides’ meeting in Stockholm, Sweden. The ministry described the talks as candid, in-depth and constructive exchanges on economic and trade issues of mutual concern. Vice Premier of the State Council, He Lifeng, said both sides should continue to implement the important consensus from the heads-of-state call, make full use of the China-U.S. economic and trade consultation mechanism and continually build consensus.
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CANADA SAYS RESCINDING DIGITAL TAX TO ADVANCE US TRADE TALKS
- CANADA SAYS RESCINDING DIGITAL TAX TO ADVANCE US TRADE TALKS
- FINANCE MINISTER SAYS TRUMP, CARNEY AIM FOR DEAL BY JULY 21
FOREX: JPY Crosses - JPY Continues To Underperform Against EUR & GBP
The JPY performance has been mixed in the crosses, struggling against the EUR and GBP but holding steady against the AUD and NZD. It continues to perform best against the CNH.
- EUR/JPY - Friday night range 168.77 - 169.81, Asia is trading around 169.25. The dips in this have been very well supported recently, with good upward momentum. First support is back towards the 167.50 area, and is currently eyeing a move back above 170.00.
- GBP/JPY - Friday night range 198.02 - 198.75, Asia trades around 198.05. Considering the pullback in USD/JPY cross-JPY remains well supported. Look for dips to remain supported in the short-term, first support is back towards the 196.50 area. The focus is now turning back to the 200.00 area.
- NZD/JPY - Friday night range 87.41 - 87.81, Asia is currently dealing 87.65. NZD/JPY again found decent supply back towards the 88.00 area, a sustained break above here is needed for the market to turn its focus back to the 90.00 area.
- CNH/JPY - Friday night range 20.1248 - 20.2016 Asia is currently trading around 20.1450. A big reversal from the 20.50/20.60 resistance area. In the middle of its recent range awaiting clearer direction.
Fig 1 : GBP/JPY Hourly Chart
Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg Finance L.P
AUSSIE BONDS: Holding Cheaper, Subdued Session
ACGBs (YM -3.0 & XM -4.5) are holding weaker after a subdued Sydney morning session.
- Private credit rose 0.5% m/m (estimate +0.6%) in May versus +0.7% in April.
- Melbourne Institute inflation index rose 0.1% m/m in June versus -0.4% in May. Inflation index rose 2.4% y/y versus +2.6% in May.
- (Dow Jones) Recent turmoil in global financial markets is fueling overseas demand for New South Wales state government bonds, despite concern about a rise in public-sector debt levels in Australia.
- Cash US tsys are slightly mixed, with a steepening, in today's Asia-Pac session after Friday's modest losses.
- Cash ACGBs are 3-5bps cheaper with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at -10bps.
- The bills strip is -1 to -2 across contracts.
- RBA-dated OIS pricing is little changed across meetings today. A 25bp rate cut in July is given a 94% probability, with a cumulative 81bps of easing priced by year-end (based on an effective cash rate of 3.84%).
- This week, the AOFM plans to sell A$1200mn of the 2.75% 21 June 2035 bond on Wednesday and A$1000mn of the 2.25% 21 May 2028 bond on Friday.
