Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves has confirmed in an interview with Reuters that she will "be setting out any changes that are necessary" in UK fiscal policy in the Spring Statement she will deliver on 26 March. After a spike in UK borrowing costs amid declining fiscal headroom and a sclerotic growth outlook, Reeves has sought to downplay the pressure markets have put on the gov't finances, claiming "Just looking at what's happened year to date, we're in line with our peers to just look at bond yields," Reeves said. On the spike in yields earlier in the month, Reeves said: "It's not a UK phenomenon. It's not a targeting of the UK."
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The trend condition in Treasury futures remains bearish, confirmed by the return lower on December 24th. For now, short-term gains are considered corrective. Last week’s sell-off reinforces the current bear cycle. The contract has traded through key short-term support and the bear trigger at 109-02+, the Nov 15 low. The breach confirms a resumption of the downtrend and opens 108+12+, a Fibonacci projection. On the upside, initial firm resistance is at 110-03+, the 20-day EMA.
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