US: CEO Confidence Fades But Amnericans Slightly Brighter About Economy

May-30 17:51

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The New York Times' DealBook writes: "Even as consumer confidence wavered in recent quarters, Americ...

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CAD: USDCAD At Session Lows On Trump-Carney Meetup Prospects

Apr-30 17:47

USDCAD dips to session lows of 1.3788 after US President Trump says that PM Carney will visit the White House within the next week, after Carney - as Trump put it - said "let's make a deal". Yesterday Carney said post-election that he'd speaking to Trump and the two had agreed to meet soon but this adds to the certainty and suggests Trump is positively disposed to a thawing in relations.

  • It's now outperforming most G10 peers, down 0.32% on the day in CAD's favor, and nearing 1.3781 - Apr 21 low (which was the lowest since Oct 2024) and the bear trigger per our tech analyst - beyond there, potential is seen for a move towards 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement.

STIR: SOFR Option Update

Apr-30 17:43
  • Block, 10,000 SFRM5 95.75/95.93 put spds, 10.5 ref 95.91
  • -10,000 2QU5 97.25/97.31 call spds 1.5 ref 96.845
  • +3,000 SFRU5 96.50/97.00 call spds 1.75 over 3QU5 96.87/97.25 call spd

US TSY OPTIONS: Jun'25 10Y Put Tree Update

Apr-30 17:42
  • Update, over 33,000 TYN5 108.5/109.5/110.5 put trees ref 112-09.5 to -12.5
  • Additional trade since midday:
  • 12,000 TYM5 110.25/111.5 put spds, 21 ref 112-06.5
  • 1,500 TYM5 109/110 put spds vs. 110.25/111.25 call spds
  • 1,500 TYM5 114/116/118 call flys ref 112-05