EMERGING MARKETS: CEEMEA FX Price Signal Summary - EURPLN Outlook Remains Bullish
Sep-19 11:09
- EURHUF continues to trade at its recent lows. The outlook is bullish following the recovery from 378.24, the Aug 30 low, and the latest pullback still appears to be a correction. The support to watch lies at 382.65, the 50-day EMA. The cross has recently pierced resistance at 391.64, the Aug 21 high. A clear break of this level would open 394.67, the Aug 3 high and a key resistance. On the downside, a move through the 50-day EMA would be a bearish development and instead expose 378.24.
- EURPLN remains in a bull cycle following the recent rally. Key resistance at 4.4600, a trendline drawn from the Sep 30 2022 high, has been cleared. This was followed by a move through 4.4683, the 50.0% retracement of the Sep 2022 - Jul bear leg. The break strengthens the current bullish theme and opens 4.7072, the 61.8% retracement point. The pullback from 4.6971, the Sep 12 high is considered corrective - for now. Initial firm support is at 4.5951, the Sep 8 low.
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US TSYS: Markets Roundup: Rates Off Week Lows, Focus on Eco-Summit Next Week
Aug-18 19:28
- US Rates are holding moderately firmer levels after the bell late Friday, inside a relatively narrow range following Thursday's sell-off to new contract lows. A quiet end to the week with no economic data Friday, or next Monday for that matter, or Fed speakers until next week.
- Chicago Fed President Goolsbee returns with opening remarks at a Fed listens event on youth employment at 1430ET Tuesday, followed by a fireside chat with Gov Bowman at 1530ET Tuesday.
- Markets eager for details on next week's KC Fed Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole: ‘Structural Shifts in the Global Economy,’ from August 24 to August 26 (schedule/attendees list likely announced the evening of the 24th).
- Treasury futures bounced off early session lows to new session highs in midmorning trade, shy of overnight highs with obvious headline or block/cross driver. Cross-market/asset: Bunds inched higher after the cash open in stocks, Gilts off session lows; West Texas crude climbed .88 to 81.27 while Gold recede -1.45 to 1887.99..
- USD index held marginal negative territory. The Japanese Yen is the strongest performer in G10, with USDJPY slowly gravitating back towards session lows and the important pivotal support around 145.10.
US: Japan-ROK: Biden-Kishida-Yoon Joint Press Conference Underway Shortly
Aug-18 18:58
President Biden, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida are shortly due to conduct a joint press conference following the conclusion of their historic trilateral summit at Camp David, Maryland.
- Livestream: Link
- The Camp David summit is the first-ever tripartite meeting solely involving the three nations' leaders outside of the constraints of an international gathering and appears set to deliver President Biden one of his most significant foreign policy wins of his first term in the White House.
- More information in today's edition of our US Daily Brief.
- Summary of White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan's press preview of the summit: Link
STIR: BLOCK, Late SFRF'4/SFRM'5 SOFR Call Spread Spread
Aug-18 18:56
- 20,000 SFRF4 95.12/95.62 call spds vs. SFRM5 96.75/97.25 call spds, 9.5 net SFRM5 over at 1432:35ET
