TURKEY: CBRT Leave Guidance Unchanged, Flag Improvement in Underlying Inflation

Dec-11 11:04

No change to guidance: "The tight monetary policy stance, which will be maintained until price stability is achieved"

  • "The Committee will determine the policy rate by taking into account realized and expected inflation and its underlying trend in a way to ensure the tightness required by the projected disinflation path in line with the interim targets."
  • "The step size is reviewed prudently on a meeting-by-meeting basis with a focus on the inflation outlook. Monetary policy stance will be tightened in case of a significant deviation in inflation outlook from the interim targets."

The CBRT note that "consumer inflation was lower than expected due to a downward surprise in food prices" and that "the underlying trend of inflation declined slightly in October and November".

  • At the same time, while showing signs of improvement, "inflation expectations and pricing behavior continue to pose risks to the disinflation process."

Historical bullets

MNI: US NFIB OCT SMALL BUSINESS INDEX 98.2

Nov-11 11:00
  • MNI: US NFIB OCT SMALL BUSINESS INDEX 98.2

EQUITY OPTIONS: Large EU Bank Put trade

Nov-11 10:48

SX7E (20th Mar) 170p, traded at 1 in 20k (unconfirmed seller).

BOE: ILTR take up should alleviate some funding mkt pressures but it settles T+2

Nov-11 10:47
  • The only time we have seen higher net ILTR takeup than in today's operation was the first week of the Covid pandemic and two weeks ago when there was the huge TFSME repayment.
  • This operation only settles T+2 so it might not fully alleviate the pressures seen in repo markets that are still evident in RONIA-Bank Rate spreads at present. But the high takeup does indicate that we may not need quite as large of an increase in STR holdings on Thursday to bring UK funding markets back into more of an equilibrium.