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A corrective bear cycle in Eurostoxx 50 futures remains in play. Recent weakness resulted in a breach of 5368.87, the 50-day EMA. The clear break of this average strengthens a short-term bearish threat and signals scope for a deeper retracement towards 5166.00, the Aug 1 low and a key support. On the upside, initial resistance to watch is 5377.49, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of it would be a bullish development.
The trend structure in Schatz futures remains bearish and - for now - recent short-term gains still appear corrective. Attention is on the next important support at 107.050, the Aug 25 and Sep 2 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open the 107.00 handle. Key short-term resistance to watch is 107.225, the Aug 27 high. Clearance of this hurdle would highlight a stronger bullish theme and signal a stronger reversal.
Market Summary: China's major onshore bourses were all lower today with the CSI 300 down -0.46%, Shanghai Comp -0.29% and Shenzhen down -0.80% whilst the Hang Seng in Hong Kong went the other way, up +0.80%. The Yuan Reference Rate at 7.1008 Per USD; Estimate 7.1249 and bond yields are steady , with the 10-Yr at 1.78%