SILVER TECHS: Bullish Trend Sequence
- RES 4: $39.026 - 1.382 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 price swing
- RES 3: $38.246 - 1.236 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 price swing
- RES 2: $38.000 - Round number resistance
- RES 1: $37.317 - Intraday high
- PRICE: $37.220 @ 08:13 BST Jun 18
- SUP 1: $34.184 - 20-day EMA
- SUP 2: $33.970/31.651 - 50-day EMA / Low May 15
- SUP 3: $30.915/28.351 - Low Apr 11 / 7 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 ‘24
A bull wave in Silver remains in play and Tuesday’s fresh cycle high, reinforces this condition. The metal has recently traded through a resistance at $34.903, the Oct 23 ‘24 high and a key bull trigger. The clear break of it marks an important medium-term bullish development. Sights are on the $38.00 handle next. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at $34.184, the 20-day EMA.
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SILVER TECHS: Support Remains Intact For Now
- RES 4: $36.000 - Round number resistance
- RES 3: $34.903 - High Oct 23 ‘24 and the bull trigger
- RES 2: $34.590 - High Mar 28
- RES 1: $33.686 - High Apr 25
- PRICE: $32.495 @ 08:08 BST May 19
- SUP 1: $31.668/651 - Low May 1 / 15
- SUP 2: $30.915/28.351 - Low Apr 11 / 7 and the bear trigger
- SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 ‘24
- SUP 4: $27.180 - Low Aug 14 ‘24
Silver is trading closer to its recent lows. However, a bullish theme remains intact and the latest pullback that started Apr 25, is likely a correction. Key short-term support has been defined at $31.668, the May 1 low (pierced). A break of this level would signal scope for a deeper retracement and open $30.915, the Apr 11 low. For bulls, resistance to watch is $33.686, the Apr 25 high. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the uptrend.
USDCAD TECHS: Corrective Cycle
- RES 4: 1.4296 High Apr 7
- RES 3: 1.4111 High Apr 4
- RES 2: 1.4024 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 1.4016 High May 12 / 13
- PRICE: 1.3963 @ 08:03 BST May 19
- SUP 1: 1.3814/3751 Low May 8 / 6 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: 1.3744 76.4% retracement of Sep 25 ‘24 - Feb 3 bull run
- SUP 3: 1.3696 Low Oct 10 ‘24
- SUP 4: 1.3643 Low Oct 9 ‘24
USDCAD maintains a firmer short-term tone for now. Despite the latest move higher, the trend condition remains bearish and recent strength appears corrective. A fresh cycle low on May 6 reinforces the bearish theme. A resumption of weakness would open 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bear mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key resistance is seen at 1.4024, the 50-day EMA.
AUDUSD TECHS: Trend Structure Remains Bullish
- RES 4: 0.5682 High Nov 12 ‘24
- RES 3: 0.6550 61.8% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Apr 9 bear leg
- RES 2: 0.6528 High Nov 29 ‘24
- RES 1: 0.6515 High May 7
- PRICE: 0.6412 @ 07:59 BST May 19
- SUP 1: 0.6356 50-day EMA
- SUP 2: 0.6275 Low Apr 14
- SUP 3: 0.6181 Low Apr 11
- SUP 4: 0.6116 Low Apr 10
The trend condition in AUDUSD is unchanged, it remains bullish. The May 13 rally signals the end of the recent corrective pullback and attention is on key resistance at 0.6515, the May 7 high. Note that moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting an uptrend. A resumption of the trend would open 0.6550, a Fibonacci retracement. Key support to monitor is 0.6356, the 50-day EMA.
