SILVER TECHS: Bullish Trend Condition

Jul-16 07:17
  • RES 4: $40.285 - 1.618 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 swing
  • RES 3: $40.000 - Psychological round number 
  • RES 2: $39.655 - 1.500 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 swing
  • RES 1: $39.132 - High Jul 14     
  • PRICE: $37.9133 @ 08:15 BST Jul 16  
  • SUP 1: $36.750 - 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: $35.531 - 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 3: $33.967 - Low Jun 3 
  • SUP 4: $32.615 - Low May 22 

Trend conditions in Silver are unchanged, a strong impulsive bull cycle remains intact and recent gains reinforce current conditions. The metal on Jul 11 cleared key short-term resistance at $37.317, the Jun 18 high. This confirms a resumption of the uptrend and sights are on the $39.655 next, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at $36.750, the 20-day EMA.

Historical bullets

SILVER TECHS: Bull Wave Still Intact

Jun-16 07:14
  • RES 4: $37.478 - High Mar 2012  
  • RES 3: $37.195 - 2.236 proj of the May 15 - 22 high / low price swing
  • RES 2: $36.987 - 1.000 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 price swing
  • RES 1: $36.886 - High Jun 9 
  • PRICE: $36.455 @ 08:13 BST Jun 16 
  • SUP 1: $34.842 - 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: $33.743/31.651 - 50-day EMA / Low May 15
  • SUP 3: $30.915/28.351 - Low Apr 11 / 7 and the bear trigger  
  • SUP 4: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 ‘24  

A bull wave in Silver remains in play and recent strong gains plus last Monday’s extension, reinforce this condition. The metal has traded through a resistance at $34.903, the Oct 23 ‘24 high and a key bull trigger. The clear break of it marks an important medium-term bullish development. Sights are on $36.987 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial support to watch lies at $34.842, the 20-day EMA.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call Spread vs Put

Jun-16 07:10

ERZ5 98.31/98.37cs vs 97.93p, bought the cs for -0.25 (receive) in 2k.

GILTS: J.P>Morgan Recommend Tactical Short In 10s

Jun-16 07:09

J.P.Morgan have recommended a tactical short in 10-Year gilts

  • They write “from a short-term relative valuation perspective 10Y gilt yields are rich vs. high frequency drivers”.
  • Further out, they expect 10-Year gilt yields “to grind lower over the second half of this year as the BoE delivers gradual easing but ultimately think the magnitude of any rally is limited as the UK fiscal backdrop remains strained”.
  • J.P.Morgan point to “further fiscal slippage as growth undershoots OBR forecasts with UK curve term premia to remain elevated and fiscal budget headroom to come back into focus around the Autumn budget”.